La scuola delle quote

Aryna Sabalenka v Naomi Osaka

Inizio: 2026-07-05 16:34 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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66 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Casa)

Previsione 67.32%1.49quota equa
EV +0.984%
Vantaggio +0.656%
Kelly +1.97%
Crescita +0.019%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.77%67.10%67.33%69.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.421.421.5073.53%70.21%70.42%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Naomi Osaka (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.68%3.06quota equa
EV +0.974%
Vantaggio +0.315%
Kelly +0.466%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.09

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.87%32.90%32.67%36.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.822.853.0938.46%35.45%35.09%32.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV +0.984%E +0.656%K +1.97%G +0.019%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -13.73%E -5.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 16:19
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:30
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:30
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:30
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:30
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%EV -1.71%E -1.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%EV -3.93%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 16:30
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -1.71%E -1.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -14.06%E -5.35%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 16:30
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.40%E -5.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 16:30
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.40%E -5.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 16:30
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -14.06%E -5.35%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 16:30
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -2.95%E -0.992%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 16:15
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 16:18
Dabble (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 16:30
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 16:20
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 16:30
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 16:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 16:30
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 16:30
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 16:30
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.38%E -5.49%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 16:30
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.38%E -5.49%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 16:30
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.38%E -5.49%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 16:30
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.01%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.99%EV -0.660%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-05 16:19
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 16:15
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 16:14
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 16:15
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 16:30
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -15.04%E -5.78%K -9.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 16:30
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -15.04%E -5.78%K -9.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 16:30
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.97%E -0.656%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 16:15
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 16:30
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 16:15
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 16:29
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 16:30
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 16:15
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 16:26
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 16:19
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.333%E -0.109%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 16:15
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 16:15
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 16:30
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 16:30
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 16:29
MyBookie.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 16:25
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.97%E -0.656%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 16:15
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -3.93%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 16:19
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 16:25
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 16:29
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 16:30
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 16:19
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.89%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 16:25
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.89%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 16:29
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 16:30
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 16:30
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 16:29
Fliff1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 16:25
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.13%EV -7.10%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.87%EV +0.974%E +0.315%K +0.466%G +0.005%4.8%2026-07-05 16:30
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.10%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 16:14
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.10%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 16:30
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -1.97%E -0.656%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 16:15
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.44%E -6.21%K -23.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 16:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-05 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-05 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-05 16:20
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-05 16:25
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-07-05 16:30
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%2.0%2026-07-05 16:25
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%2.3%2026-07-05 16:30