Szkoła Kursów

Aryna Sabalenka v Naomi Osaka

Początek: 2026-07-05 16:34 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

66 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 67.32%1.49kurs godziwy
EV +0.984%
Przewaga +0.656%
Kelly +1.97%
Wzrost +0.019%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
63.77%67.10%67.33%69.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.361.421.421.5073.53%70.21%70.42%66.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Naomi Osaka (Goście)

Prognoza 32.68%3.06kurs godziwy
EV +0.974%
Przewaga +0.315%
Kelly +0.466%
Wzrost +0.005%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.09

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.87%32.90%32.67%36.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.602.822.853.0938.46%35.45%35.09%32.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV +0.984%E +0.656%K +1.97%G +0.019%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -13.73%E -5.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 16:19
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:30
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:30
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:30
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:30
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%EV -1.71%E -1.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%EV -3.93%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 16:30
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -1.71%E -1.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -14.06%E -5.35%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 16:30
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.40%E -5.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 16:30
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.40%E -5.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 16:30
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -14.06%E -5.35%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 16:30
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -2.95%E -0.992%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 16:15
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 16:18
Dabble (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 16:30
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 16:20
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 16:30
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 16:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 16:30
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 16:30
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 16:30
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.38%E -5.49%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 16:30
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.38%E -5.49%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 16:30
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.38%E -5.49%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 16:30
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.01%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.99%EV -0.660%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-05 16:19
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 16:15
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 16:14
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 16:15
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 16:30
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -15.04%E -5.78%K -9.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 16:30
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -15.04%E -5.78%K -9.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 16:30
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.97%E -0.656%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 16:15
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 16:30
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 16:15
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 16:29
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 16:30
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 16:15
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 16:26
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 16:19
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.333%E -0.109%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 16:15
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 16:15
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 16:30
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 16:30
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 16:29
MyBookie.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 16:25
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.97%E -0.656%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 16:15
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -3.93%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 16:19
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 16:25
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 16:29
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 16:30
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 16:19
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.89%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 16:25
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.89%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 16:29
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 16:30
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 16:30
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 16:29
Fliff1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 16:25
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.13%EV -7.10%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.87%EV +0.974%E +0.315%K +0.466%G +0.005%4.8%2026-07-05 16:30
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.10%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 16:14
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.10%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 16:30
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -1.97%E -0.656%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 16:15
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.44%E -6.21%K -23.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 16:30
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-05 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-05 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-05 16:20
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-05 16:25
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-07-05 16:30
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%2.0%2026-07-05 16:25
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%2.3%2026-07-05 16:30