StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka v Naomi Osaka

Matchstart: 2026-07-05 16:34 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

66 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma)

Prognos 67.32%1.49rättvist odds
EV +0.984%
Fördel +0.656%
Kelly +1.97%
Tillväxt +0.019%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
63.77%67.10%67.33%69.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.361.421.421.5073.53%70.21%70.42%66.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Naomi Osaka (Borta)

Prognos 32.68%3.06rättvist odds
EV +0.974%
Fördel +0.315%
Kelly +0.466%
Tillväxt +0.005%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.09

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.87%32.90%32.67%36.23%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.602.822.853.0938.46%35.45%35.09%32.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma): 67.32%; Naomi Osaka (Borta): 32.68%. För Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.49. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 1.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.984%.

Spelbolagsodds (66 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV +0.984%E +0.656%K +1.97%G +0.019%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -13.73%E -5.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 16:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:30
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:30
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:30
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%EV -1.71%E -1.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%EV -3.93%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -1.71%E -1.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -14.06%E -5.35%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 16:30
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.40%E -5.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.40%E -5.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 16:30
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -14.06%E -5.35%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -2.95%E -0.992%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 16:15
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 16:18
Dabble (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 16:30
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 16:30
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 16:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 16:30
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 16:30
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 16:30
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.38%E -5.49%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.38%E -5.49%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.38%E -5.49%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 16:30
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.01%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.99%EV -0.660%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-05 16:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 16:15
ReBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 16:14
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 16:15
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 16:30
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -15.04%E -5.78%K -9.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -15.04%E -5.78%K -9.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 16:30
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.97%E -0.656%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 16:30
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 16:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 16:29
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 16:30
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 16:26
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.333%E -0.109%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 16:15
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 16:30
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 16:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 16:25
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.97%E -0.656%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -3.93%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 16:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 16:25
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 16:29
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 16:30
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 16:19
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.89%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 16:25
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.89%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 16:29
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 16:30
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 16:29
Fliff🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.13%EV -7.10%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.87%EV +0.974%E +0.315%K +0.466%G +0.005%4.8%2026-07-05 16:30
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.10%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 16:14
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.10%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -1.97%E -0.656%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.44%E -6.21%K -23.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 16:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-05 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-05 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-05 16:20
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-05 16:25
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-07-05 16:30
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%2.0%2026-07-05 16:25
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%2.3%2026-07-05 16:30