مدرسة الاحتمالات

Aryna Sabalenka v Naomi Osaka

البداية: 2026-07-05 16:34 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

66 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (المضيف)

التنبؤ 67.32%1.49السعر العادل
EV +0.984%
الأفضلية +0.656%
Kelly +1.97%
النمو +0.019%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
63.77%67.10%67.33%69.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.361.421.421.5073.53%70.21%70.42%66.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Naomi Osaka (الضيف)

التنبؤ 32.68%3.06السعر العادل
EV +0.974%
الأفضلية +0.315%
Kelly +0.466%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.09

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.87%32.90%32.67%36.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.822.853.0938.46%35.45%35.09%32.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (66 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV +0.984%E +0.656%K +1.97%G +0.019%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -13.73%E -5.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 16:19
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:30
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:30
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:30
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:30
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%EV -1.71%E -1.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%EV -3.93%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 16:30
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -1.71%E -1.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -14.06%E -5.35%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 16:30
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.40%E -5.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 16:30
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.40%E -5.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 16:30
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -14.06%E -5.35%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 16:30
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -2.95%E -0.992%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 16:15
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 16:18
Dabble (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 16:30
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 16:20
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 16:30
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 16:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 16:30
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 16:30
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 16:30
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.38%E -5.49%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 16:30
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.38%E -5.49%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 16:30
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.38%E -5.49%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 16:30
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.01%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.99%EV -0.660%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-05 16:19
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 16:15
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 16:14
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 16:15
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 16:30
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -15.04%E -5.78%K -9.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 16:30
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -15.04%E -5.78%K -9.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 16:30
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.97%E -0.656%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 16:15
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 16:30
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 16:15
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 16:29
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 16:30
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 16:15
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 16:26
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 16:19
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.333%E -0.109%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 16:15
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 16:15
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 16:30
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 16:30
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 16:29
MyBookie.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 16:25
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.97%E -0.656%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 16:15
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -3.93%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 16:19
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 16:25
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 16:29
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 16:30
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 16:19
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.89%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 16:25
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.89%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 16:29
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 16:30
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 16:30
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 16:29
Fliff1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 16:25
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.13%EV -7.10%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.87%EV +0.974%E +0.315%K +0.466%G +0.005%4.8%2026-07-05 16:30
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.10%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 16:14
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.10%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 16:30
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -1.97%E -0.656%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 16:15
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.44%E -6.21%K -23.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 16:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-05 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-05 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-05 16:20
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-05 16:25
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-07-05 16:30
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%2.0%2026-07-05 16:25
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%2.3%2026-07-05 16:30