L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Aryna Sabalenka v Naomi Osaka
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prévision 67.32%1.49cote équitable
EV +0.984%
Avantage +0.656%
Kelly +1.97%
Croissance +0.019%
avec la cote maximale 1.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.77%67.10%67.33%69.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.421.421.5073.53%70.21%70.42%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Naomi Osaka (Visiteur)
Prévision 32.68%3.06cote équitable
EV +0.974%
Avantage +0.315%
Kelly +0.466%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 3.09
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.87%32.90%32.67%36.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.822.853.0938.46%35.45%35.09%32.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV +0.984%E +0.656%K +1.97%G +0.019% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -13.73%E -5.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 16:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Casumo | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Unibet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%EV -1.71%E -1.17%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%EV -3.93%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -1.71%E -1.17%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -14.06%E -5.35%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.40%E -5.06%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.40%E -5.06%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -14.06%E -5.35%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -2.95%E -0.992%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 16:15 |
| Bovada | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 16:18 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 16:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 16:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.38%E -5.49%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.38%E -5.49%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.38%E -5.49%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| GTbets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.01%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.99%EV -0.660%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-05 16:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 16:15 |
| ReBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 16:14 |
| BetAnything | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-05 16:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -15.04%E -5.78%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -15.04%E -5.78%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.97%E -0.656%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 16:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 16:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 16:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Neds | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 16:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 16:26 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.333%E -0.109%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 16:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 16:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 16:25 |
| BetUS | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.97%E -0.656%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -3.93%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 16:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 16:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 16:29 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 16:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.89%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 16:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.89%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 16:29 |
| Betsson | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 16:29 |
| Fliff | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-05 16:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.13%EV -7.10%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.87%EV +0.974%E +0.315%K +0.466%G +0.005% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.10%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 16:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.10%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -1.97%E -0.656%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.44%E -6.21%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-07-05 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-07-05 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-07-05 16:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-07-05 16:25 |
| ProphetX | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Novig | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 2.0% | 2026-07-05 16:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |