Language:English
Karolina Pliskova v Diana Shnaider
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karolina Pliskova (Local)
Prediction 23.77%4.21fair odd
EV +3.42%
Edge +0.786%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.035%
assuming max odds 4.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.04%24.00%23.66%27.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.873.804.3529.41%25.82%26.32%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Diana Shnaider (Visit)
Prediction 76.23%1.31fair odd
EV -0.906%
Edge -0.697%
Kelly -3.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.34%76.00%76.34%77.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.261.261.3083.33%79.49%79.37%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karolina Pliskova (Local): 23.77%; Diana Shnaider (Visit): 76.23%. For Karolina Pliskova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.21. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +3.42%E +0.786%K +1.02%G +0.035% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +2.23%E +0.518%K +0.675%G +0.015% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +2.23%E +0.518%K +0.675%G +0.015% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 14:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +1.52%E +0.355%K +0.463%G +0.007% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-02 14:31 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.149%E -0.035%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.149%E -0.035%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.53%E -0.616%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.53%E -0.616%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.53%E -0.616%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 14:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -3.00%E -0.736%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -4.43%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -4.43%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 16:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.09%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.09%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -8.53%E -7.11%K -42.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.43%E -1.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 08:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -11.32%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -2.43%E -1.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -13.22%E -3.62%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -0.906%E -0.697%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -13.46%E -3.70%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -2.43%E -1.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -19.17%E -5.64%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -0.906%E -0.697%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.87% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.13% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 1.7% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |