StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Karolina Pliskova v Diana Shnaider

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-02 15:00 UTC

Endstand: Karolina Pliskova 0–2 Diana Shnaider

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Karolina Pliskova (Heim)

Prognose 23.77%4.21faire Quote
EV +3.42%
Vorteil +0.786%
Kelly +1.02%
Wachstum +0.035%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.04%24.00%23.66%27.66%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.403.873.804.3529.41%25.82%26.32%22.99%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Diana Shnaider (Auswärts)

Prognose 76.23%1.31faire Quote
EV -0.906%
Vorteil -0.697%
Kelly -3.02%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
72.34%76.00%76.34%77.96%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.201.261.261.3083.33%79.49%79.37%76.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Karolina Pliskova (Heim): 23.77%; Diana Shnaider (Auswärts): 76.23%. Für Karolina Pliskova (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.21. 4 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.35 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.42%.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Betclic (FR)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +3.42%E +0.786%K +1.02%G +0.035%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +2.23%E +0.518%K +0.675%G +0.015%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 14:05
MyBookie.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +2.23%E +0.518%K +0.675%G +0.015%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 14:34
Pinnacle🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +1.52%E +0.355%K +0.463%G +0.007%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-02 14:31
ReBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.149%E -0.035%K -0.047%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.149%E -0.035%K -0.047%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 14:05
Coolbet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.53%E -0.616%K -0.815%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.53%E -0.616%K -0.815%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.53%E -0.616%K -0.815%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 14:09
GTbets🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -3.00%E -0.736%K -0.975%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 14:10
Betsson🎯4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -4.43%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:05
NordicBet🎯4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -4.43%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 14:55
BetAnything🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 14:55
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 09:30
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 14:50
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:46
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:05
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 16:54
LeoVegas🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.09%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.09%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 14:35
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 10:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -8.53%E -7.11%K -42.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 14:51
1xBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.43%E -1.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 14:51
Bet Right🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:55
BetUS🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:51
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:55
NetBet (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
BetRivers🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:59
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
Bally Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 14:50
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 10:30
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 14:55
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 10:30
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 14:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 09:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 11:55
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 14:51
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 08:25
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 14:45
SportsBet🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -11.32%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -2.43%E -1.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 14:50
FanDuel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -13.22%E -3.62%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -0.906%E -0.697%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 14:50
DraftKings🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -13.46%E -3.70%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -2.43%E -1.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:51
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:46
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:51
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:50
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 14:51
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -19.17%E -5.64%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -0.906%E -0.697%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 14:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.87%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.13%0.5%2026-09-02 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-09-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-09-02 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-09-02 14:55
Matchbook◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-09-02 14:46
ProphetX◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-09-02 14:51
Kalshi◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%1.7%2026-09-02 14:50
Smarkets◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-09-02 14:50