StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Karolina Pliskova v Diana Shnaider

Matchstart: 2026-09-02 15:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Karolina Pliskova 0–2 Diana Shnaider

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

65 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Karolina Pliskova (Hemma)

Prognos 23.77%4.21rättvist odds
EV +3.42%
Fördel +0.786%
Kelly +1.02%
Tillväxt +0.035%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.04%24.00%23.66%27.66%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.873.804.3529.41%25.82%26.32%22.99%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Diana Shnaider (Borta)

Prognos 76.23%1.31rättvist odds
EV -0.906%
Fördel -0.697%
Kelly -3.02%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
72.34%76.00%76.34%77.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.201.261.261.3083.33%79.49%79.37%76.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Karolina Pliskova (Hemma): 23.77%; Diana Shnaider (Borta): 76.23%. För Karolina Pliskova (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.21. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.35, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.42%.

Spelbolagsodds (65 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Betclic (FR)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +3.42%E +0.786%K +1.02%G +0.035%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +2.23%E +0.518%K +0.675%G +0.015%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 14:05
MyBookie.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +2.23%E +0.518%K +0.675%G +0.015%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 14:34
Pinnacle🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +1.52%E +0.355%K +0.463%G +0.007%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-02 14:31
ReBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.149%E -0.035%K -0.047%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.149%E -0.035%K -0.047%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 14:05
Coolbet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.53%E -0.616%K -0.815%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.53%E -0.616%K -0.815%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.53%E -0.616%K -0.815%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 14:09
GTbets🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -3.00%E -0.736%K -0.975%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 14:10
Betsson🎯4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -4.43%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:05
NordicBet🎯4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -4.43%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 14:55
BetAnything🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 14:55
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 09:30
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 14:50
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:46
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:05
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 16:54
LeoVegas🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.09%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.09%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 14:35
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 10:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -8.53%E -7.11%K -42.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 14:51
1xBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.43%E -1.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 14:51
Bet Right🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:55
BetUS🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:51
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:55
NetBet (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
BetRivers🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:59
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
Bally Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 14:50
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 10:30
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 14:55
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 10:30
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 14:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 09:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 11:55
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 14:51
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 08:25
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 14:45
SportsBet🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -11.32%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -2.43%E -1.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 14:50
FanDuel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -13.22%E -3.62%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -0.906%E -0.697%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 14:50
DraftKings🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -13.46%E -3.70%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -2.43%E -1.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:51
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:46
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:51
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:50
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 14:51
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -19.17%E -5.64%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -0.906%E -0.697%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 14:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.87%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.13%0.5%2026-09-02 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-09-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-09-02 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-09-02 14:55
Matchbook◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-09-02 14:46
ProphetX◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-09-02 14:51
Kalshi◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%1.7%2026-09-02 14:50
Smarkets◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-09-02 14:50