Langue:Français
Karolina Pliskova v Diana Shnaider
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Karolina Pliskova (Local)
Prévision 23.77%4.21cote équitable
EV +3.42%
Avantage +0.786%
Kelly +1.02%
Croissance +0.035%
avec la cote maximale 4.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.04%24.00%23.66%27.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.873.804.3529.41%25.82%26.32%22.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Diana Shnaider (Visiteur)
Prévision 76.23%1.31cote équitable
EV -0.906%
Avantage -0.697%
Kelly -3.02%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.34%76.00%76.34%77.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.261.261.3083.33%79.49%79.37%76.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Karolina Pliskova (Local) : 23.77% ; Diana Shnaider (Visiteur) : 76.23%. Pour Karolina Pliskova (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.21. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.35, soit une espérance positive de +3.42%.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +3.42%E +0.786%K +1.02%G +0.035% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +2.23%E +0.518%K +0.675%G +0.015% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +2.23%E +0.518%K +0.675%G +0.015% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 14:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +1.52%E +0.355%K +0.463%G +0.007% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-02 14:31 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.149%E -0.035%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.149%E -0.035%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.53%E -0.616%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.53%E -0.616%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.53%E -0.616%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 14:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -3.00%E -0.736%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -4.43%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -4.43%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 16:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.09%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.09%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -8.53%E -7.11%K -42.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.43%E -1.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 08:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -11.32%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -2.43%E -1.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -13.22%E -3.62%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -0.906%E -0.697%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -13.46%E -3.70%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -2.43%E -1.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -19.17%E -5.64%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -0.906%E -0.697%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.87% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.13% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 1.7% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |