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Karolina Pliskova v Diana Shnaider
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Karolina Pliskova (Хозяева)
Прогноз 23.77%4.21справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.42%
Преимущество +0.786%
Kelly +1.02%
Рост +0.035%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.35
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.04%24.00%23.66%27.66%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.403.873.804.3529.41%25.82%26.32%22.99%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Diana Shnaider (Гости)
Прогноз 76.23%1.31справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.906%
Преимущество -0.697%
Kelly -3.02%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
72.34%76.00%76.34%77.96%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.201.261.261.3083.33%79.49%79.37%76.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Karolina Pliskova (Хозяева): 23.77%; Diana Shnaider (Гости): 76.23%. Для исхода «Karolina Pliskova (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.21. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.35, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.42%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +3.42%E +0.786%K +1.02%G +0.035% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +2.23%E +0.518%K +0.675%G +0.015% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +2.23%E +0.518%K +0.675%G +0.015% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 14:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +1.52%E +0.355%K +0.463%G +0.007% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-02 14:31 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.149%E -0.035%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.149%E -0.035%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.53%E -0.616%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.53%E -0.616%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.53%E -0.616%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 14:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -3.00%E -0.736%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -4.43%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -4.43%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 16:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.09%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.09%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -8.53%E -7.11%K -42.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.43%E -1.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 08:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -11.32%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -2.43%E -1.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -13.22%E -3.62%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -0.906%E -0.697%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -13.46%E -3.70%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -2.43%E -1.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -19.17%E -5.64%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -0.906%E -0.697%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (8)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.87% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.13% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 1.7% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |