Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Karolina Pliskova v Diana Shnaider

Início: 2026-09-02 15:00 UTC

Final: Karolina Pliskova 0–2 Diana Shnaider

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Karolina Pliskova (Local)

Previsão 23.77%4.21odd justa
EV +3.42%
Vantagem +0.786%
Kelly +1.02%
Crescimento +0.035%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.04%24.00%23.66%27.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.873.804.3529.41%25.82%26.32%22.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Diana Shnaider (Visitante)

Previsão 76.23%1.31odd justa
EV -0.906%
Vantagem -0.697%
Kelly -3.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.34%76.00%76.34%77.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.201.261.261.3083.33%79.49%79.37%76.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Karolina Pliskova (Local): 23.77%; Diana Shnaider (Visitante): 76.23%. Para Karolina Pliskova (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.21. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.35, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.42%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Betclic (FR)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +3.42%E +0.786%K +1.02%G +0.035%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +2.23%E +0.518%K +0.675%G +0.015%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 14:05
MyBookie.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +2.23%E +0.518%K +0.675%G +0.015%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 14:34
Pinnacle🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +1.52%E +0.355%K +0.463%G +0.007%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-02 14:31
ReBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.149%E -0.035%K -0.047%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.149%E -0.035%K -0.047%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 14:05
Coolbet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.53%E -0.616%K -0.815%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.53%E -0.616%K -0.815%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.53%E -0.616%K -0.815%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 14:09
GTbets🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -3.00%E -0.736%K -0.975%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 14:10
Betsson🎯4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -4.43%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:05
NordicBet🎯4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -4.43%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 14:55
BetAnything🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 14:55
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 09:30
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 14:50
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:46
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:05
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 16:54
LeoVegas🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.09%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.09%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 14:35
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 10:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -8.53%E -7.11%K -42.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 14:51
1xBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.43%E -1.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 14:51
Bet Right🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:55
BetUS🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:51
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:55
NetBet (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
BetRivers🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:59
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
Bally Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 14:50
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 10:30
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 14:55
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 10:30
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 14:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 09:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 11:55
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 14:51
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 08:25
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 14:45
SportsBet🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -11.32%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -2.43%E -1.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 14:50
FanDuel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -13.22%E -3.62%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -0.906%E -0.697%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 14:50
DraftKings🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -13.46%E -3.70%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -2.43%E -1.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:51
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:46
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:51
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:50
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 14:51
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -19.17%E -5.64%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -0.906%E -0.697%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 14:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.87%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.13%0.5%2026-09-02 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-09-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-09-02 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-09-02 14:55
Matchbook◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-09-02 14:46
ProphetX◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-09-02 14:51
Kalshi◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%1.7%2026-09-02 14:50
Smarkets◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-09-02 14:50