Idioma:Español
Karolina Pliskova v Diana Shnaider
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Karolina Pliskova (Local)
Predicción 23.77%4.21momio equitativo
EV +3.42%
Ventaja +0.786%
Kelly +1.02%
Crecimiento +0.035%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.04%24.00%23.66%27.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.873.804.3529.41%25.82%26.32%22.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Diana Shnaider (Visitante)
Predicción 76.23%1.31momio equitativo
EV -0.906%
Ventaja -0.697%
Kelly -3.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.34%76.00%76.34%77.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.201.261.261.3083.33%79.49%79.37%76.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Karolina Pliskova (Local): 23.77%; Diana Shnaider (Visitante): 76.23%. Para Karolina Pliskova (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.21. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.35, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.42%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +3.42%E +0.786%K +1.02%G +0.035% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +2.23%E +0.518%K +0.675%G +0.015% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +2.23%E +0.518%K +0.675%G +0.015% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 14:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +1.52%E +0.355%K +0.463%G +0.007% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-02 14:31 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.149%E -0.035%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.149%E -0.035%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.53%E -0.616%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.53%E -0.616%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.53%E -0.616%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 14:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -3.00%E -0.736%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -4.43%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -4.43%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 16:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.09%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.09%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -8.53%E -7.11%K -42.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.43%E -1.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 11:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.96%E -3.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 08:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -11.32%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -2.43%E -1.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -13.22%E -3.62%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -0.906%E -0.697%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -13.46%E -3.70%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -2.43%E -1.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.72%E -3.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -19.17%E -5.64%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -0.906%E -0.697%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.87% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.13% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 1.7% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |