语言:简体中文
Jessica Pegula v Leylah Fernandez
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Jessica Pegula (主队)
预测 82.67%1.21公平赔率
EV -2.45%
优势 -2.07%
Kelly -13.59%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.18
博彩公司预测分布
78.85%82.33%82.79%84.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.121.161.161.1889.29%86.36%86.21%84.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
Leylah Fernandez (客队)
预测 17.33%5.77公平赔率
EV +4.83%
优势 +0.799%
Kelly +0.957%
增长率 +0.046%
假设最高赔率为 6.05
博彩公司预测分布
15.74%17.67%17.21%21.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.405.275.326.0522.73%18.97%18.80%16.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Jessica Pegula (主队)：82.67%；Leylah Fernandez (客队)：17.33%。 对于“Leylah Fernandez (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.77。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.05，对应+4.83%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +4.83%E +0.799%K +0.957%G +0.046% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 09:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +2.23%E +0.379%K +0.456%G +0.010% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 09:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.31%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.84I 17.12%NM 16.69%EV +1.19%E +0.204%K +0.247%G +0.003% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +0.501%E +0.086%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 3.4% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -0.366%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV -1.23%E -0.216%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -1.23%E -0.216%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 05:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -2.96%E -0.529%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 06:08 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -2.96%E -0.529%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.96%E -0.529%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -3.31%E -0.593%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -3.31%E -0.593%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 06:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 05:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 05:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.41%E -6.61%K -61.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.48%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.52%EV -5.39%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 05:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -6.43%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.39%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.61%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 06:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.03%EV -7.82%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.65%EV -7.82%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 05:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.65%EV -7.82%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 10:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 05:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 03:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:41 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -17.69%E -3.72%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -23.76%E -5.40%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 10:27 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.24% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |