Langue:Français
Jessica Pegula v Leylah Fernandez
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Prévision 82.67%1.21cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -2.07%
Kelly -13.59%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.85%82.33%82.79%84.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.121.161.161.1889.29%86.36%86.21%84.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Leylah Fernandez (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.33%5.77cote équitable
EV +4.83%
Avantage +0.799%
Kelly +0.957%
Croissance +0.046%
avec la cote maximale 6.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.74%17.67%17.21%21.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.405.275.326.0522.73%18.97%18.80%16.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jessica Pegula (Local) : 82.67% ; Leylah Fernandez (Visiteur) : 17.33%. Pour Leylah Fernandez (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.77. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.05, soit une espérance positive de +4.83%.
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +4.83%E +0.799%K +0.957%G +0.046% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 09:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +2.23%E +0.379%K +0.456%G +0.010% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 09:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.31%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.84I 17.12%NM 16.69%EV +1.19%E +0.204%K +0.247%G +0.003% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +0.501%E +0.086%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 3.4% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -0.366%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV -1.23%E -0.216%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -1.23%E -0.216%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 05:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -2.96%E -0.529%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 06:08 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -2.96%E -0.529%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.96%E -0.529%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -3.31%E -0.593%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -3.31%E -0.593%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 06:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 05:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 05:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.41%E -6.61%K -61.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.48%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.52%EV -5.39%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 05:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -6.43%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.39%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.61%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 06:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.03%EV -7.82%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.65%EV -7.82%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 05:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.65%EV -7.82%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 10:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 05:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 03:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:41 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -17.69%E -3.72%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -23.76%E -5.40%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 10:27 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.24% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |