StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jessica Pegula v Leylah Fernandez

Matchstart: 2026-09-04 15:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Jessica Pegula 2–1 Leylah Fernandez

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

66 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jessica Pegula (Hemma)

Prognos 82.67%1.21rättvist odds
EV -2.45%
Fördel -2.07%
Kelly -13.59%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.18

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
78.85%82.33%82.79%84.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.121.161.161.1889.29%86.36%86.21%84.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Leylah Fernandez (Borta)

Prognos 17.33%5.77rättvist odds
EV +4.83%
Fördel +0.799%
Kelly +0.957%
Tillväxt +0.046%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.74%17.67%17.21%21.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.405.275.326.0522.73%18.97%18.80%16.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jessica Pegula (Hemma): 82.67%; Leylah Fernandez (Borta): 17.33%. För Leylah Fernandez (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.77. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.05, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.83%.

Spelbolagsodds (66 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +4.83%E +0.799%K +0.957%G +0.046%5.0%2026-09-04 09:24
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +2.23%E +0.379%K +0.456%G +0.010%4.7%2026-09-04 09:24
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 83.31%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.69%EV +1.19%E +0.204%K +0.247%G +0.003%2.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +0.501%E +0.086%K +0.104%G +0.001%3.4%2026-09-04 06:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -0.366%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-04 10:15
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV -1.23%E -0.216%K -0.262%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 14:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -1.23%E -0.216%K -0.262%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 05:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -2.96%E -0.529%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 06:08
ReBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -2.96%E -0.529%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 13:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.96%E -0.529%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 06:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -3.31%E -0.593%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -3.31%E -0.593%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 06:50
Fanatics🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 05:55
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 13:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 05:59
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 09:20
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 14:10
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 13:15
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:31
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:30
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 12:55
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 09:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 12:55
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.41%E -6.61%K -61.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 09:20
GTbets🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.48%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.52%EV -5.39%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 05:55
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -6.43%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 12:55
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.39%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.61%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 06:55
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 18.03%EV -7.82%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 12:55
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.65%EV -7.82%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 05:58
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.65%EV -7.82%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 06:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:55
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:31
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 12:55
BetAnything🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 14:10
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 10:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 10:40
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 19:35
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 10:43
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 05:15
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 12:35
theScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 03:35
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 19:35
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 19:35
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
Casumo🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
Grosvenor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
Unibet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:39
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:41
PMU (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -17.69%E -3.72%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 10:40
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -23.76%E -5.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 10:27
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-09-04 12:30
Kalshi◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-09-03 14:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Novig◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70%6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30%1.2%2026-09-04 14:10
Smarkets◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.24%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76%2.3%2026-09-04 14:20