Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula v Leylah Fernandez

Início: 2026-09-04 15:30 UTC

Final: Jessica Pegula 2–1 Leylah Fernandez

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Previsão 82.67%1.21odd justa
EV -2.45%
Vantagem -2.07%
Kelly -13.59%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.85%82.33%82.79%84.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.121.161.161.1889.29%86.36%86.21%84.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Leylah Fernandez (Visitante)

Previsão 17.33%5.77odd justa
EV +4.83%
Vantagem +0.799%
Kelly +0.957%
Crescimento +0.046%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.74%17.67%17.21%21.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.405.275.326.0522.73%18.97%18.80%16.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jessica Pegula (Local): 82.67%; Leylah Fernandez (Visitante): 17.33%. Para Leylah Fernandez (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.77. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.05, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.83%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +4.83%E +0.799%K +0.957%G +0.046%5.0%2026-09-04 09:24
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +2.23%E +0.379%K +0.456%G +0.010%4.7%2026-09-04 09:24
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 83.31%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.69%EV +1.19%E +0.204%K +0.247%G +0.003%2.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +0.501%E +0.086%K +0.104%G +0.001%3.4%2026-09-04 06:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -0.366%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-04 10:15
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV -1.23%E -0.216%K -0.262%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 14:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -1.23%E -0.216%K -0.262%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 05:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -2.96%E -0.529%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 06:08
ReBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -2.96%E -0.529%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 13:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.96%E -0.529%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 06:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -3.31%E -0.593%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -3.31%E -0.593%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 06:50
Fanatics🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 05:55
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 13:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 05:59
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 09:20
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 14:10
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 13:15
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:31
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:30
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 12:55
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 09:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 12:55
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.41%E -6.61%K -61.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 09:20
GTbets🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.48%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.52%EV -5.39%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 05:55
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -6.43%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 12:55
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.39%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.61%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 06:55
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 18.03%EV -7.82%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 12:55
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.65%EV -7.82%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 05:58
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.65%EV -7.82%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 06:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:55
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:31
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 12:55
BetAnything🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 14:10
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 10:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 10:40
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 19:35
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 10:43
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 05:15
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 12:35
theScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 03:35
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 19:35
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 19:35
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
Casumo🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
Grosvenor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
Unibet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:39
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:41
PMU (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -17.69%E -3.72%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 10:40
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -23.76%E -5.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 10:27
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-09-04 12:30
Kalshi◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-09-03 14:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Novig◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70%6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30%1.2%2026-09-04 14:10
Smarkets◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.24%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76%2.3%2026-09-04 14:20