Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Jessica Pegula v Leylah Fernandez

Początek: 2026-09-04 15:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Jessica Pegula 2–1 Leylah Fernandez

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

66 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Jessica Pegula (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 82.67%1.21kurs godziwy
EV -2.45%
Przewaga -2.07%
Kelly -13.59%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.18

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
78.85%82.33%82.79%84.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.121.161.161.1889.29%86.36%86.21%84.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Leylah Fernandez (Goście)

Prognoza 17.33%5.77kurs godziwy
EV +4.83%
Przewaga +0.799%
Kelly +0.957%
Wzrost +0.046%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.05

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.74%17.67%17.21%21.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.405.275.326.0522.73%18.97%18.80%16.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Jessica Pegula (Gospodarze): 82.67%; Leylah Fernandez (Goście): 17.33%. Dla wyniku Leylah Fernandez (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.77. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 6.05, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +4.83%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +4.83%E +0.799%K +0.957%G +0.046%5.0%2026-09-04 09:24
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +2.23%E +0.379%K +0.456%G +0.010%4.7%2026-09-04 09:24
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 83.31%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.69%EV +1.19%E +0.204%K +0.247%G +0.003%2.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +0.501%E +0.086%K +0.104%G +0.001%3.4%2026-09-04 06:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -0.366%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-04 10:15
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV -1.23%E -0.216%K -0.262%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 14:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -1.23%E -0.216%K -0.262%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 05:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -2.96%E -0.529%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 06:08
ReBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -2.96%E -0.529%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 13:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.96%E -0.529%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 06:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -3.31%E -0.593%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -3.31%E -0.593%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 06:50
Fanatics🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 05:55
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 13:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 05:59
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 09:20
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 14:10
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 13:15
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:31
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:30
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 12:55
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 09:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 12:55
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.41%E -6.61%K -61.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 09:20
GTbets🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.48%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.52%EV -5.39%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 05:55
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -6.43%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 12:55
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.39%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.61%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 06:55
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 18.03%EV -7.82%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 12:55
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.65%EV -7.82%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 05:58
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.65%EV -7.82%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 06:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:55
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:31
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 12:55
BetAnything🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 14:10
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 10:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 10:40
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 19:35
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 10:43
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 05:15
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 12:35
theScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 03:35
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 19:35
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 19:35
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
Casumo🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
Grosvenor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
Unibet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:39
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:41
PMU (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -17.69%E -3.72%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 10:40
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -23.76%E -5.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 10:27
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (8)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
ProphetX◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-09-04 12:30
Kalshi◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-09-03 14:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Novig◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70%6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30%1.2%2026-09-04 14:10
Smarkets◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.24%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76%2.3%2026-09-04 14:20