Idioma:Español
Jessica Pegula v Leylah Fernandez
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Predicción 82.67%1.21momio equitativo
EV -2.45%
Ventaja -2.07%
Kelly -13.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.85%82.33%82.79%84.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.121.161.161.1889.29%86.36%86.21%84.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Leylah Fernandez (Visitante)
Predicción 17.33%5.77momio equitativo
EV +4.83%
Ventaja +0.799%
Kelly +0.957%
Crecimiento +0.046%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.74%17.67%17.21%21.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.405.275.326.0522.73%18.97%18.80%16.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jessica Pegula (Local): 82.67%; Leylah Fernandez (Visitante): 17.33%. Para Leylah Fernandez (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.77. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.05, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.83%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +4.83%E +0.799%K +0.957%G +0.046% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 09:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +2.23%E +0.379%K +0.456%G +0.010% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 09:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.31%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.84I 17.12%NM 16.69%EV +1.19%E +0.204%K +0.247%G +0.003% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +0.501%E +0.086%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 3.4% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -0.366%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV -1.23%E -0.216%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -1.23%E -0.216%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 05:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -2.96%E -0.529%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 06:08 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -2.96%E -0.529%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.96%E -0.529%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -3.31%E -0.593%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -3.31%E -0.593%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 06:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 05:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 05:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.41%E -6.61%K -61.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.48%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.52%EV -5.39%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 05:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -6.43%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.39%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.61%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 06:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.03%EV -7.82%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.65%EV -7.82%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 05:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.65%EV -7.82%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 10:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 05:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 03:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:41 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -17.69%E -3.72%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -23.76%E -5.40%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 10:27 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.24% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |