Язык:Русский
Jessica Pegula v Leylah Fernandez
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Jessica Pegula (Хозяева)
Прогноз 82.67%1.21справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.45%
Преимущество -2.07%
Kelly -13.59%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.18
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
78.85%82.33%82.79%84.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.121.161.161.1889.29%86.36%86.21%84.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Leylah Fernandez (Гости)
Прогноз 17.33%5.77справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.83%
Преимущество +0.799%
Kelly +0.957%
Рост +0.046%
при максимальном коэффициенте 6.05
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.74%17.67%17.21%21.15%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.405.275.326.0522.73%18.97%18.80%16.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Jessica Pegula (Хозяева): 82.67%; Leylah Fernandez (Гости): 17.33%. Для исхода «Leylah Fernandez (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.77. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.05, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.83%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +4.83%E +0.799%K +0.957%G +0.046% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 09:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +2.23%E +0.379%K +0.456%G +0.010% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 09:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.31%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.84I 17.12%NM 16.69%EV +1.19%E +0.204%K +0.247%G +0.003% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +0.501%E +0.086%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 3.4% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -0.366%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV -1.23%E -0.216%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -1.23%E -0.216%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 05:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -2.96%E -0.529%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 06:08 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -2.96%E -0.529%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.96%E -0.529%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -3.31%E -0.593%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -3.31%E -0.593%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 06:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 05:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 05:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.41%E -6.61%K -61.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.48%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.52%EV -5.39%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 05:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -6.43%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.39%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.61%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 06:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.03%EV -7.82%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.65%EV -7.82%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 05:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.65%EV -7.82%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 10:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 05:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 03:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.93%E -4.28%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 10:41 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -17.69%E -3.72%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -23.76%E -5.40%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 10:27 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (8)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.24% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |