Language:English
Iga Swiatek v Qinwen Zheng
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Iga Swiatek (Local)
Prediction 80.18%1.25fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -14.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.85%80.15%80.27%81.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.191.181.2186.21%84.37%84.75%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Qinwen Zheng (Visit)
Prediction 19.82%5.05fair odd
EV +4.03%
Edge +0.768%
Kelly +0.949%
Growth +0.038%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.22%19.85%19.73%21.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.824.765.2522.73%20.76%20.99%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iga Swiatek (Local): 80.18%; Qinwen Zheng (Visit): 19.82%. For Qinwen Zheng (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.05. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +4.03%E +0.768%K +0.949%G +0.038% | 4.5% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.31%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.69%EV +3.44%E +0.659%K +0.815%G +0.028% | 2.5% | 2026-09-07 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-07 14:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-07 14:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.99%E -6.02%K -43.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV -1.91%E -0.386%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-07 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV -1.91%E -0.386%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-07 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -2.98%E -2.46%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -2.90%E -0.592%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.90%E -0.592%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-07 12:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.99%E -6.02%K -43.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -2.90%E -0.592%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -3.89%E -0.803%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 12:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-07 14:56 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-07 14:56 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 15:21 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 10:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.07%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.93%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 11:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.03%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.97%EV -5.48%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.00%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV -5.68%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 11:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 15:26 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.87%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 12:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.87%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.87%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 14:56 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -7.86%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -7.86%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 08:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.48%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.52%EV -9.44%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.48%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.52%EV -9.44%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 14:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -2.98%E -2.46%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -10.04%E -2.21%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 10:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 10:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 10:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 10:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 12:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 12:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-07 12:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.81%E -2.91%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 15:07 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 15:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 15:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 15:21 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.55% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.45% | 1.3% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.5% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.85% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 18.15% | 1.8% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |