语言:简体中文
Iga Swiatek v Qinwen Zheng
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Iga Swiatek (主队)
预测 80.18%1.25公平赔率
EV -2.98%
优势 -2.46%
Kelly -14.18%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.21
博彩公司预测分布
78.85%80.15%80.27%81.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.161.191.181.2186.21%84.37%84.75%82.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
Qinwen Zheng (客队)
预测 19.82%5.05公平赔率
EV +4.03%
优势 +0.768%
Kelly +0.949%
增长率 +0.038%
假设最高赔率为 5.25
博彩公司预测分布
18.22%19.85%19.73%21.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.404.824.765.2522.73%20.76%20.99%19.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Iga Swiatek (主队)：80.18%；Qinwen Zheng (客队)：19.82%。 对于“Qinwen Zheng (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.05。 当时有16家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.25，对应+4.03%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +4.03%E +0.768%K +0.949%G +0.038% | 4.5% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.31%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.69%EV +3.44%E +0.659%K +0.815%G +0.028% | 2.5% | 2026-09-07 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-07 14:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-07 14:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.99%E -6.02%K -43.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV -1.91%E -0.386%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-07 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV -1.91%E -0.386%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-07 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -2.98%E -2.46%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -2.90%E -0.592%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.90%E -0.592%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-07 12:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.99%E -6.02%K -43.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -2.90%E -0.592%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -3.89%E -0.803%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 12:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-07 14:56 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-07 14:56 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 15:21 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 10:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.07%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.93%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 11:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.03%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.97%EV -5.48%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.00%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV -5.68%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 11:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 15:26 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.87%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 12:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.87%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.87%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 14:56 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -7.86%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -7.86%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 08:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.48%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.52%EV -9.44%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.48%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.52%EV -9.44%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 14:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -2.98%E -2.46%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -10.04%E -2.21%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 10:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 10:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 10:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 10:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 12:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 12:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-07 12:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.81%E -2.91%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 15:07 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 15:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 15:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 15:21 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.55% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.45% | 1.3% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.5% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.85% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 18.15% | 1.8% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |