StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Iga Swiatek v Qinwen Zheng

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-07 15:39 UTC

Endstand: Iga Swiatek 0–2 Qinwen Zheng

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

66 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Iga Swiatek (Heim)

Prognose 80.18%1.25faire Quote
EV -2.98%
Vorteil -2.46%
Kelly -14.18%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.21

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
78.85%80.15%80.27%81.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.161.191.181.2186.21%84.37%84.75%82.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Qinwen Zheng (Auswärts)

Prognose 19.82%5.05faire Quote
EV +4.03%
Vorteil +0.768%
Kelly +0.949%
Wachstum +0.038%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.22%19.85%19.73%21.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.404.824.765.2522.73%20.76%20.99%19.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Iga Swiatek (Heim): 80.18%; Qinwen Zheng (Auswärts): 19.82%. Für Qinwen Zheng (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.05. 16 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.25 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.03%.

Wettanbieterquoten (66 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +4.03%E +0.768%K +0.949%G +0.038%4.5%2026-09-07 15:15
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 81.31%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.69%EV +3.44%E +0.659%K +0.815%G +0.028%2.5%2026-09-07 15:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:15
Grosvenor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:15
Casumo🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:15
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:15
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:15
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:15
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:15
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:20
Coolbet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-07 14:44
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-07 14:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 14:55
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 15:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.99%E -6.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV -1.91%E -0.386%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-07 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV -1.91%E -0.386%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-07 13:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -2.98%E -2.46%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -2.90%E -0.592%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.90%E -0.592%K -0.744%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 12:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.99%E -6.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -2.90%E -0.592%K -0.744%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 15:25
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -3.89%E -0.803%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 12:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 14:56
ReBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 14:56
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 15:21
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 10:15
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.07%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.93%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 11:59
GTbets🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.03%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.97%EV -5.48%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 15:15
BetUS🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.00%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV -5.68%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 14:45
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 11:59
Bet Right🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 15:15
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 15:26
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.87%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 12:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.87%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.87%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 14:56
Unibet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -7.86%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 14:55
Fliff🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -7.86%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 15:25
BetAnything🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 13:55
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 14:40
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 14:45
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 08:10
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.48%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.52%EV -9.44%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 14:55
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.48%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.52%EV -9.44%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 14:56
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -2.98%E -2.46%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -10.04%E -2.21%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 15:15
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 15:20
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 10:50
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 10:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 10:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 10:50
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 14:45
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 12:40
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 14:45
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 14:45
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-07 12:25
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.81%E -2.91%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 15:07
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-09-07 15:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-09-07 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-09-07 15:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-09-07 15:21
ProphetX◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.55%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.45%1.3%2026-09-07 15:25
Smarkets◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.5%2026-09-07 15:25
Novig◎1.20I 83.33%NM 81.85%5.41I 18.48%NM 18.15%1.8%2026-09-07 15:25