StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Iga Swiatek v Qinwen Zheng

2026-09-07 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Iga Swiatek (Hemma)

Prognos 76.27%1.31rättvist odds
EV -1.61%
Fördel -1.24%
Kelly -5.54%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.29

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
74.31%76.34%76.19%78.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.201.241.241.2983.33%80.91%80.65%77.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Qinwen Zheng (Borta)

Prognos 23.73%4.21rättvist odds
EV +8.90%
Fördel +1.94%
Kelly +2.48%
Tillväxt +0.221%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.59

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.13%23.66%23.81%25.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.504.034.104.5928.57%24.79%24.39%21.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Iga Swiatek (Hemma): 76.27%; Qinwen Zheng (Borta): 23.73%. För Qinwen Zheng (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.21. 5 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 4.59, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +8.90%.

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.87%EV -6.18%E -5.03%K -26.88%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.13%EV +8.90%E +1.94%K +2.48%G +0.221%3.1%2026-09-06 01:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.72%EV -6.18%E -5.03%K -26.88%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.28%EV +7.95%E +1.75%K +2.24%G +0.178%3.3%2026-09-06 02:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.72%EV -6.18%E -5.03%K -26.88%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.28%EV +7.95%E +1.75%K +2.24%G +0.178%3.3%2026-09-06 02:15
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +0.832%E +0.196%K +0.256%G +0.002%4.2%2026-09-06 01:31
BetAnything🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -6.18%E -5.03%K -26.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +0.832%E +0.196%K +0.256%G +0.002%4.8%2026-09-06 02:20
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.89%E -3.09%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.354%E -0.084%K -0.111%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 01:43
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.354%E -0.084%K -0.111%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:40
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.354%E -0.084%K -0.111%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:39
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.354%E -0.084%K -0.111%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.354%E -0.084%K -0.111%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.354%E -0.084%K -0.111%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.45%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.55%EV -0.592%E -0.141%K -0.185%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:15
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.08%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.92%EV -1.07%E -0.256%K -0.336%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 01:21
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -8.47%E -7.06%K -42.35%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -1.54%E -0.371%K -0.489%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 01:15
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:04
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:06
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:06
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:06
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:06
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -6.18%E -5.03%K -26.88%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -3.91%E -0.966%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 01:30
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:40
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:06
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 01:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.18%E -5.03%K -26.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 01:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.18%E -5.03%K -26.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 01:05
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 01:10
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 01:40
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.01%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.99%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 01:15
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -7.00%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:06
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -7.00%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 01:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 01:21
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 01:21
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 01:15
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 01:40
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -1.61%E -1.24%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -10.56%E -2.80%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 01:25
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -3.13%E -2.47%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -11.74%E -3.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 01:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 01:15
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 01:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31%EV -7.71%E -6.37%K -36.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -16.96%E -4.85%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 01:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31%EV -7.71%E -6.37%K -36.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -16.96%E -4.85%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 01:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-09-06 01:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-09-06 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-09-06 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-09-06 01:40
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 78.95%4.65I 21.51%NM 21.05%2.2%2026-09-06 02:15
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%3.7%2026-09-06 01:40
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%4.3%2026-09-06 02:20
Arbitrage (3 kombinationer) +0.70%1xBet 1.29 (78.1%) / Pinnacle 4.59 (21.9%)Visa alla 3 kombinationer
Iga Swiatek (Hemma)Qinwen Zheng (Borta)Marginal
1xBet🎯 1.29 (78.1%)Pinnacle🎯 4.59 (21.9%)+0.699%
1xBet🎯 1.29 (77.9%)LowVig.ag🎯 4.55 (22.1%)+0.505%
1xBet🎯 1.29 (77.9%)BetOnline.ag🎯 4.55 (22.1%)+0.505%