Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Iga Swiatek v Qinwen Zheng

2026-09-07 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Iga Swiatek (Local)

Prévision 76.27%1.31cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -5.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.31%76.34%76.19%78.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.241.241.2983.33%80.91%80.65%77.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Qinwen Zheng (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.73%4.21cote équitable
EV +8.90%
Avantage +1.94%
Kelly +2.48%
Croissance +0.221%

avec la cote maximale 4.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.13%23.66%23.81%25.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.504.034.104.5928.57%24.79%24.39%21.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Iga Swiatek (Local) : 76.27% ; Qinwen Zheng (Visiteur) : 23.73%. Pour Qinwen Zheng (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.21. 5 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.59, pour une espérance positive de +8.90%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.87%EV -6.18%E -5.03%K -26.88%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.13%EV +8.90%E +1.94%K +2.48%G +0.221%3.1%2026-09-06 01:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.72%EV -6.18%E -5.03%K -26.88%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.28%EV +7.95%E +1.75%K +2.24%G +0.178%3.3%2026-09-06 02:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.72%EV -6.18%E -5.03%K -26.88%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.28%EV +7.95%E +1.75%K +2.24%G +0.178%3.3%2026-09-06 02:15
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +0.832%E +0.196%K +0.256%G +0.002%4.2%2026-09-06 01:31
BetAnything🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -6.18%E -5.03%K -26.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +0.832%E +0.196%K +0.256%G +0.002%4.8%2026-09-06 02:20
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.89%E -3.09%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.354%E -0.084%K -0.111%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 01:43
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.354%E -0.084%K -0.111%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:40
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.354%E -0.084%K -0.111%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:39
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.354%E -0.084%K -0.111%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.354%E -0.084%K -0.111%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.354%E -0.084%K -0.111%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.45%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.55%EV -0.592%E -0.141%K -0.185%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:15
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.08%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.92%EV -1.07%E -0.256%K -0.336%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 01:21
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -8.47%E -7.06%K -42.35%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -1.54%E -0.371%K -0.489%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 01:15
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:04
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:06
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:06
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:06
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:06
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -6.18%E -5.03%K -26.88%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -3.91%E -0.966%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 01:30
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:40
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:06
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 01:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.18%E -5.03%K -26.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 01:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.18%E -5.03%K -26.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 01:05
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 01:10
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 01:40
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.01%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.99%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 01:15
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -7.00%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:06
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -7.00%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 01:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 01:21
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 01:21
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 01:15
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 01:40
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -1.61%E -1.24%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -10.56%E -2.80%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 01:25
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -3.13%E -2.47%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -11.74%E -3.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 01:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 01:15
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 01:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31%EV -7.71%E -6.37%K -36.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -16.96%E -4.85%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 01:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31%EV -7.71%E -6.37%K -36.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -16.96%E -4.85%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 01:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-09-06 01:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-09-06 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-09-06 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-09-06 01:40
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 78.95%4.65I 21.51%NM 21.05%2.2%2026-09-06 02:15
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%3.7%2026-09-06 01:40
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%4.3%2026-09-06 02:20
Arbitrage (3 combinaisons) +0.70%1xBet 1.29 (78.1%) / Pinnacle 4.59 (21.9%)Afficher les 3 combinaisons
Iga Swiatek (Local)Qinwen Zheng (Visiteur)Marge
1xBet🎯 1.29 (78.1%)Pinnacle🎯 4.59 (21.9%)+0.699%
1xBet🎯 1.29 (77.9%)LowVig.ag🎯 4.55 (22.1%)+0.505%
1xBet🎯 1.29 (77.9%)BetOnline.ag🎯 4.55 (22.1%)+0.505%