Idioma:Español
Iga Swiatek v Qinwen Zheng
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Iga Swiatek (Local)
Predicción 80.18%1.25momio equitativo
EV -2.98%
Ventaja -2.46%
Kelly -14.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.85%80.15%80.27%81.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.161.191.181.2186.21%84.37%84.75%82.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Qinwen Zheng (Visitante)
Predicción 19.82%5.05momio equitativo
EV +4.03%
Ventaja +0.768%
Kelly +0.949%
Crecimiento +0.038%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.22%19.85%19.73%21.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.404.824.765.2522.73%20.76%20.99%19.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Iga Swiatek (Local): 80.18%; Qinwen Zheng (Visitante): 19.82%. Para Qinwen Zheng (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.05. 16 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.03%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +4.03%E +0.768%K +0.949%G +0.038% | 4.5% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.31%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.69%EV +3.44%E +0.659%K +0.815%G +0.028% | 2.5% | 2026-09-07 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-07 14:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-07 14:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.99%E -6.02%K -43.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV -1.91%E -0.386%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-07 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV -1.91%E -0.386%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-07 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -2.98%E -2.46%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -2.90%E -0.592%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.90%E -0.592%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-07 12:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.99%E -6.02%K -43.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -2.90%E -0.592%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -3.89%E -0.803%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 12:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-07 14:56 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-07 14:56 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 15:21 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 10:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.07%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.93%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 11:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.03%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.97%EV -5.48%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.00%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV -5.68%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 11:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 15:26 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.87%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 12:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.87%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.87%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 14:56 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -7.86%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -7.86%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 08:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.48%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.52%EV -9.44%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.48%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.52%EV -9.44%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 14:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -2.98%E -2.46%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -10.04%E -2.21%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 10:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 10:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 10:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 10:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 12:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 12:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-07 12:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.81%E -2.91%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 15:07 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 15:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 15:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 15:21 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.55% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.45% | 1.3% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.5% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.85% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 18.15% | 1.8% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |