Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Iga Swiatek v Qinwen Zheng

2026-09-07 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Iga Swiatek (Local)

Previsão 76.27%1.31odd justa
EV -1.61%
Vantagem -1.24%
Kelly -5.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
74.31%76.34%76.19%78.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.201.241.241.2983.33%80.91%80.65%77.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Qinwen Zheng (Visitante)

Previsão 23.73%4.21odd justa
EV +8.90%
Vantagem +1.94%
Kelly +2.48%
Crescimento +0.221%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.13%23.66%23.81%25.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.504.034.104.5928.57%24.79%24.39%21.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Iga Swiatek (Local): 76.27%; Qinwen Zheng (Visitante): 23.73%. Para Qinwen Zheng (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 4.21. 5 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 4.59, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +8.90%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.87%EV -6.18%E -5.03%K -26.88%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.13%EV +8.90%E +1.94%K +2.48%G +0.221%3.1%2026-09-06 01:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.72%EV -6.18%E -5.03%K -26.88%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.28%EV +7.95%E +1.75%K +2.24%G +0.178%3.3%2026-09-06 02:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.72%EV -6.18%E -5.03%K -26.88%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.28%EV +7.95%E +1.75%K +2.24%G +0.178%3.3%2026-09-06 02:15
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +0.832%E +0.196%K +0.256%G +0.002%4.2%2026-09-06 01:31
BetAnything🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -6.18%E -5.03%K -26.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +0.832%E +0.196%K +0.256%G +0.002%4.8%2026-09-06 02:20
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.89%E -3.09%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.354%E -0.084%K -0.111%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 01:43
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.354%E -0.084%K -0.111%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:40
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.354%E -0.084%K -0.111%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:39
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.354%E -0.084%K -0.111%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.354%E -0.084%K -0.111%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.354%E -0.084%K -0.111%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.45%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.55%EV -0.592%E -0.141%K -0.185%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:15
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.08%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.92%EV -1.07%E -0.256%K -0.336%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 01:21
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -8.47%E -7.06%K -42.35%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -1.54%E -0.371%K -0.489%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 01:15
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:04
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:06
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:06
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:06
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.73%E -0.665%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:06
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -6.18%E -5.03%K -26.88%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -3.91%E -0.966%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 01:30
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:40
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:06
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 01:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.18%E -5.03%K -26.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 01:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.18%E -5.03%K -26.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 01:05
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 01:10
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 01:40
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.01%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.99%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 01:15
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -7.00%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:06
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -7.00%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 01:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 01:21
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 01:21
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 01:15
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.42%E -4.37%K -22.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 01:40
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -1.61%E -1.24%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -10.56%E -2.80%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 01:25
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -3.13%E -2.47%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -11.74%E -3.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 01:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 01:15
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -6.94%E -5.69%K -31.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 01:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31%EV -7.71%E -6.37%K -36.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -16.96%E -4.85%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 01:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31%EV -7.71%E -6.37%K -36.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -16.96%E -4.85%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 01:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-09-06 01:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-09-06 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-09-06 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-09-06 01:40
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 78.95%4.65I 21.51%NM 21.05%2.2%2026-09-06 02:15
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%3.7%2026-09-06 01:40
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%4.3%2026-09-06 02:20
Arbitragem (3 combinações) +0.70%1xBet 1.29 (78.1%) / Pinnacle 4.59 (21.9%)Mostrar as 3 combinações
Iga Swiatek (Local)Qinwen Zheng (Visitante)Margem
1xBet🎯 1.29 (78.1%)Pinnacle🎯 4.59 (21.9%)+0.699%
1xBet🎯 1.29 (77.9%)LowVig.ag🎯 4.55 (22.1%)+0.505%
1xBet🎯 1.29 (77.9%)BetOnline.ag🎯 4.55 (22.1%)+0.505%