Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Iga Swiatek v Qinwen Zheng

Início: 2026-09-07 15:39 UTC

Final: Iga Swiatek 0–2 Qinwen Zheng

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Iga Swiatek (Local)

Previsão 80.18%1.25odd justa
EV -2.98%
Vantagem -2.46%
Kelly -14.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.85%80.15%80.27%81.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.161.191.181.2186.21%84.37%84.75%82.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Qinwen Zheng (Visitante)

Previsão 19.82%5.05odd justa
EV +4.03%
Vantagem +0.768%
Kelly +0.949%
Crescimento +0.038%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.22%19.85%19.73%21.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.404.824.765.2522.73%20.76%20.99%19.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Iga Swiatek (Local): 80.18%; Qinwen Zheng (Visitante): 19.82%. Para Qinwen Zheng (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.05. 16 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.03%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +4.03%E +0.768%K +0.949%G +0.038%4.5%2026-09-07 15:15
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 81.31%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.69%EV +3.44%E +0.659%K +0.815%G +0.028%2.5%2026-09-07 15:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:15
Grosvenor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:15
Casumo🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:15
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:15
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:15
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:15
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:15
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.04%E +0.585%K +0.724%G +0.022%4.7%2026-09-07 15:20
Coolbet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-07 14:44
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-07 14:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 14:55
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 15:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.99%E -6.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.921%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV -1.91%E -0.386%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-07 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV -1.91%E -0.386%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-07 13:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -2.98%E -2.46%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -2.90%E -0.592%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.90%E -0.592%K -0.744%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 12:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.99%E -6.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -2.90%E -0.592%K -0.744%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 15:25
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -3.89%E -0.803%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 12:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 14:56
ReBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 14:56
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 15:21
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 10:15
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.07%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.93%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 11:59
GTbets🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.03%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.97%EV -5.48%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 15:15
BetUS🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.00%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV -5.68%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 14:45
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 11:59
Bet Right🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 15:15
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 15:26
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.87%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 12:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.87%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.87%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 14:56
Unibet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -7.86%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 14:55
Fliff🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -7.86%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 15:25
BetAnything🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 13:55
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 14:40
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.58%E -3.85%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 14:45
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 08:10
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.48%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.52%EV -9.44%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 14:55
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.48%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.52%EV -9.44%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 14:56
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -2.98%E -2.46%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -10.04%E -2.21%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 15:15
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 15:20
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 10:50
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 10:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 10:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 10:50
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 14:45
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.78%E -3.15%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 12:40
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 14:45
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 14:45
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-07 12:25
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.81%E -2.91%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 15:07
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-09-07 15:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-09-07 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-09-07 15:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-09-07 15:21
ProphetX◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.55%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.45%1.3%2026-09-07 15:25
Smarkets◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.5%2026-09-07 15:25
Novig◎1.20I 83.33%NM 81.85%5.41I 18.48%NM 18.15%1.8%2026-09-07 15:25