Language:English
Maja Chwalinska v Talia Gibson
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maja Chwalinska (Local)
Prediction 44.89%2.23fair odd
EV +1.90%
Edge +0.838%
Kelly +1.50%
Growth +0.028%
assuming max odds 2.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.26%45.25%44.88%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.102.102.2754.05%47.70%47.62%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Talia Gibson (Visit)
Prediction 55.11%1.81fair odd
EV +1.95%
Edge +1.06%
Kelly +2.30%
Growth +0.045%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%54.75%55.12%57.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.711.711.8562.11%58.51%58.48%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maja Chwalinska (Local): 44.89%; Talia Gibson (Visit): 55.11%. For Talia Gibson (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -16.95%E -9.16%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +1.95%E +1.06%K +2.30%G +0.045% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV +0.299%E +0.164%K +0.365%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 18:39 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.803%E -0.446%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -11.12%E -5.61%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -0.803%E -0.446%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.46%E -6.39%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.803%E -0.446%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -11.57%E -5.87%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -14.71%E -7.74%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.08%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 13:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| ReBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.28%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 12:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 23:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 09:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| betPARX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:38 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 15:24 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 15:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV +1.00%E +0.446%K +0.803%G +0.008% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| BetAnything | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.38%E -2.06%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 12:23 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| TAB | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.53%E -3.65%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 18:39 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.53%E -3.65%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Bally Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:39 |
| FanDuel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.14%E -0.981%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 18:37 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +1.90%E +0.838%K +1.50%G +0.028% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -7.42%E -4.41%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +1.90%E +0.838%K +1.50%G +0.028% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -7.42%E -4.41%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| betano_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 18:29 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -9.32%E -4.61%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.40%EV -12.01%E -6.13%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.60%EV -10.17%E -6.24%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-04 18:39 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.72%E -6.62%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.27%E -7.00%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.27%E -7.00%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.27%E -7.00%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Novig | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07% | 1.4% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |