Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Maja Chwalinska v Talia Gibson

Inizio: 2026-08-04 18:40 UTC

Finale: Maja Chwalinska 0–2 Talia Gibson

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Maja Chwalinska (Casa)

Previsione 44.89%2.23quota equa
EV +1.90%
Vantaggio +0.838%
Kelly +1.50%
Crescita +0.028%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.26%45.25%44.88%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.852.102.102.2754.05%47.70%47.62%44.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Talia Gibson (Trasferta)

Previsione 55.11%1.81quota equa
EV +1.95%
Vantaggio +1.06%
Kelly +2.30%
Crescita +0.045%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%54.75%55.12%57.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.611.711.711.8562.11%58.51%58.48%54.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Maja Chwalinska (Casa): 44.89%; Talia Gibson (Trasferta): 55.11%. Per Talia Gibson (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.81. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 1.85, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.95%.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -16.95%E -9.16%K -19.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +1.95%E +1.06%K +2.30%G +0.045%8.1%2026-08-04 18:40
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV +0.299%E +0.164%K +0.365%G +0.001%4.9%2026-08-04 18:39
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.803%E -0.446%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 18:40
LeoVegas1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -11.12%E -5.61%K -11.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -0.803%E -0.446%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.46%E -6.39%K -13.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.803%E -0.446%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 18:40
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -11.57%E -5.87%K -11.92%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -14.71%E -7.74%K -16.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 18:39
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 18:35
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 18:35
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 18:24
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 18:35
DraftKings2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.08%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:35
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 13:40
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 18:24
ReBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:44
Unibet (UK)2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.28%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 12:40
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 23:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 09:59
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:24
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:24
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:40
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:40
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:40
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:40
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:40
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:39
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:40
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:38
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 15:24
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 15:24
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV +1.00%E +0.446%K +0.803%G +0.008%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 18:35
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 18:40
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 18:34
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.38%E -2.06%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:24
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 18:40
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 12:23
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 18:35
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 18:34
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 18:25
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.53%E -3.65%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 18:39
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.53%E -3.65%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:40
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:40
Bally Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:39
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.14%E -0.981%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 18:24
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 18:37
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 18:40
LowVig.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +1.90%E +0.838%K +1.50%G +0.028%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -7.42%E -4.41%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 18:25
BetOnline.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +1.90%E +0.838%K +1.50%G +0.028%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -7.42%E -4.41%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 18:25
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:25
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 18:24
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 18:25
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 18:24
betano_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 18:29
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-04 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -9.32%E -4.61%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-04 18:40
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 18:40
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 18:40
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.40%EV -12.01%E -6.13%K -12.52%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.60%EV -10.17%E -6.24%K -16.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-04 18:39
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.72%E -6.62%K -17.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 18:40
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.27%E -7.00%K -18.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:40
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.27%E -7.00%K -18.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:40
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.27%E -7.00%K -18.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-08-04 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-08-04 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-08-04 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-08-04 18:40
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-08-04 18:40
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07%1.4%2026-08-04 18:40
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.6%2026-08-04 18:40