Język:Polski
Maja Chwalinska v Talia Gibson
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Maja Chwalinska (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 44.89%2.23kurs godziwy
EV +1.90%
Przewaga +0.838%
Kelly +1.50%
Wzrost +0.028%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.27
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
42.26%45.25%44.88%50.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.852.102.102.2754.05%47.70%47.62%44.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Talia Gibson (Goście)
Prognoza 55.11%1.81kurs godziwy
EV +1.95%
Przewaga +1.06%
Kelly +2.30%
Wzrost +0.045%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.85
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
50.00%54.75%55.12%57.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.611.711.711.8562.11%58.51%58.48%54.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Maja Chwalinska (Gospodarze): 44.89%; Talia Gibson (Goście): 55.11%. Dla wyniku Talia Gibson (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.81. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 1.85, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.95%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -16.95%E -9.16%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +1.95%E +1.06%K +2.30%G +0.045% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV +0.299%E +0.164%K +0.365%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 18:39 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.803%E -0.446%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -11.12%E -5.61%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -0.803%E -0.446%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.46%E -6.39%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.803%E -0.446%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -11.57%E -5.87%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -14.71%E -7.74%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.08%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 13:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| ReBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.28%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 12:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 23:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 09:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| betPARX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:38 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 15:24 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 15:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV +1.00%E +0.446%K +0.803%G +0.008% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| BetAnything | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.38%E -2.06%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 12:23 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| TAB | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.53%E -3.65%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 18:39 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.53%E -3.65%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Bally Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:39 |
| FanDuel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.14%E -0.981%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 18:37 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +1.90%E +0.838%K +1.50%G +0.028% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -7.42%E -4.41%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +1.90%E +0.838%K +1.50%G +0.028% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -7.42%E -4.41%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| betano_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 18:29 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -9.32%E -4.61%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.40%EV -12.01%E -6.13%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.60%EV -10.17%E -6.24%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-04 18:39 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.72%E -6.62%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.27%E -7.00%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.27%E -7.00%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.27%E -7.00%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Novig | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07% | 1.4% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |