StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Maja Chwalinska v Talia Gibson

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-04 18:40 UTC

Endstand: Maja Chwalinska 0–2 Talia Gibson

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Maja Chwalinska (Heim)

Prognose 44.89%2.23faire Quote
EV +1.90%
Vorteil +0.838%
Kelly +1.50%
Wachstum +0.028%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.27

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.26%45.25%44.88%50.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.852.102.102.2754.05%47.70%47.62%44.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Talia Gibson (Auswärts)

Prognose 55.11%1.81faire Quote
EV +1.95%
Vorteil +1.06%
Kelly +2.30%
Wachstum +0.045%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.85

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.00%54.75%55.12%57.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.611.711.711.8562.11%58.51%58.48%54.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Maja Chwalinska (Heim): 44.89%; Talia Gibson (Auswärts): 55.11%. Für Talia Gibson (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.81. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 1.85 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.95%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -16.95%E -9.16%K -19.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +1.95%E +1.06%K +2.30%G +0.045%8.1%2026-08-04 18:40
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV +0.299%E +0.164%K +0.365%G +0.001%4.9%2026-08-04 18:39
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.803%E -0.446%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 18:40
LeoVegas1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -11.12%E -5.61%K -11.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -0.803%E -0.446%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.46%E -6.39%K -13.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.803%E -0.446%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 18:40
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -11.57%E -5.87%K -11.92%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -14.71%E -7.74%K -16.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 18:39
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 18:35
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 18:35
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 18:24
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 18:35
DraftKings2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.08%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:35
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 13:40
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 18:24
ReBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:44
Unibet (UK)2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.28%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 12:40
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 23:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 09:59
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:24
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:24
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:40
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:40
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:40
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:40
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:40
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:39
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:40
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:38
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 15:24
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 15:24
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV +1.00%E +0.446%K +0.803%G +0.008%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 18:35
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 18:40
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 18:34
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.38%E -2.06%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:24
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 18:40
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 12:23
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 18:35
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 18:34
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 18:25
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.53%E -3.65%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 18:39
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.53%E -3.65%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:40
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:40
Bally Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:39
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.14%E -0.981%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 18:24
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 18:37
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 18:40
LowVig.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +1.90%E +0.838%K +1.50%G +0.028%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -7.42%E -4.41%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 18:25
BetOnline.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +1.90%E +0.838%K +1.50%G +0.028%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -7.42%E -4.41%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 18:25
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:25
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 18:24
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 18:25
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 18:24
betano_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 18:29
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-04 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -9.32%E -4.61%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-04 18:40
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 18:40
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 18:40
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.40%EV -12.01%E -6.13%K -12.52%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.60%EV -10.17%E -6.24%K -16.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-04 18:39
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.72%E -6.62%K -17.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 18:40
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.27%E -7.00%K -18.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:40
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.27%E -7.00%K -18.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:40
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.27%E -7.00%K -18.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-08-04 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-08-04 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-08-04 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-08-04 18:40
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-08-04 18:40
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07%1.4%2026-08-04 18:40
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.6%2026-08-04 18:40