Idioma:Español
Maja Chwalinska v Talia Gibson
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Maja Chwalinska (Local)
Predicción 44.89%2.23momio equitativo
EV +1.90%
Ventaja +0.838%
Kelly +1.50%
Crecimiento +0.028%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.26%45.25%44.88%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.852.102.102.2754.05%47.70%47.62%44.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Talia Gibson (Visitante)
Predicción 55.11%1.81momio equitativo
EV +1.95%
Ventaja +1.06%
Kelly +2.30%
Crecimiento +0.045%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%54.75%55.12%57.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.611.711.711.8562.11%58.51%58.48%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Maja Chwalinska (Local): 44.89%; Talia Gibson (Visitante): 55.11%. Para Talia Gibson (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.81. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.85, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.95%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -16.95%E -9.16%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +1.95%E +1.06%K +2.30%G +0.045% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV +0.299%E +0.164%K +0.365%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 18:39 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.803%E -0.446%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -11.12%E -5.61%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -0.803%E -0.446%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.46%E -6.39%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.803%E -0.446%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -11.57%E -5.87%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -14.71%E -7.74%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.08%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 13:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| ReBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.28%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 12:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 23:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 09:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| betPARX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:38 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 15:24 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 15:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV +1.00%E +0.446%K +0.803%G +0.008% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| BetAnything | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.38%E -2.06%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 12:23 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| TAB | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.53%E -3.65%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 18:39 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.53%E -3.65%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Bally Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:39 |
| FanDuel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.14%E -0.981%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 18:37 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +1.90%E +0.838%K +1.50%G +0.028% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -7.42%E -4.41%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +1.90%E +0.838%K +1.50%G +0.028% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -7.42%E -4.41%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| betano_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 18:29 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -9.32%E -4.61%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.40%EV -12.01%E -6.13%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.60%EV -10.17%E -6.24%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-04 18:39 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.72%E -6.62%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.27%E -7.00%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.27%E -7.00%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.27%E -7.00%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Novig | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07% | 1.4% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |