StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Maja Chwalinska v Talia Gibson

Matchstart: 2026-08-04 18:40 UTC

Slutresultat: Maja Chwalinska 0–2 Talia Gibson

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Maja Chwalinska (Hemma)

Prognos 44.89%2.23rättvist odds
EV +1.90%
Fördel +0.838%
Kelly +1.50%
Tillväxt +0.028%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.27

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.26%45.25%44.88%50.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.852.102.102.2754.05%47.70%47.62%44.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Talia Gibson (Borta)

Prognos 55.11%1.81rättvist odds
EV +1.95%
Fördel +1.06%
Kelly +2.30%
Tillväxt +0.045%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
50.00%54.75%55.12%57.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.611.711.711.8562.11%58.51%58.48%54.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Maja Chwalinska (Hemma): 44.89%; Talia Gibson (Borta): 55.11%. För Talia Gibson (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.81. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 1.85, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.95%.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -16.95%E -9.16%K -19.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +1.95%E +1.06%K +2.30%G +0.045%8.1%2026-08-04 18:40
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV +0.299%E +0.164%K +0.365%G +0.001%4.9%2026-08-04 18:39
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.803%E -0.446%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 18:40
LeoVegas1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -11.12%E -5.61%K -11.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -0.803%E -0.446%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.46%E -6.39%K -13.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.803%E -0.446%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 18:40
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -11.57%E -5.87%K -11.92%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -14.71%E -7.74%K -16.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 18:39
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 18:35
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 18:35
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 18:24
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 18:35
DraftKings2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.08%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:35
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 13:40
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 18:24
ReBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:44
Unibet (UK)2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.28%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 12:40
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 23:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 09:59
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:24
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:24
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:40
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:40
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:40
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:40
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:40
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:39
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:40
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:38
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 15:24
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 15:24
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV +1.00%E +0.446%K +0.803%G +0.008%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 18:35
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 18:40
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 18:34
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.38%E -2.06%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:24
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 18:40
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 12:23
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 18:35
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 18:34
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 18:25
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.53%E -3.65%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 18:39
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.53%E -3.65%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:40
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:40
Bally Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:39
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.14%E -0.981%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 18:24
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 18:37
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 18:40
LowVig.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +1.90%E +0.838%K +1.50%G +0.028%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -7.42%E -4.41%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 18:25
BetOnline.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +1.90%E +0.838%K +1.50%G +0.028%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -7.42%E -4.41%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 18:25
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:25
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 18:24
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 18:25
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 18:24
betano_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 18:29
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-04 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -9.32%E -4.61%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-04 18:40
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 18:40
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 18:40
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.40%EV -12.01%E -6.13%K -12.52%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.60%EV -10.17%E -6.24%K -16.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-04 18:39
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.72%E -6.62%K -17.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 18:40
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.27%E -7.00%K -18.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:40
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.27%E -7.00%K -18.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:40
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.27%E -7.00%K -18.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-08-04 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-08-04 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-08-04 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-08-04 18:40
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-08-04 18:40
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07%1.4%2026-08-04 18:40
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.6%2026-08-04 18:40