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Maja Chwalinska v Talia Gibson
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Maja Chwalinska (Хозяева)
Прогноз 44.89%2.23справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.90%
Преимущество +0.838%
Kelly +1.50%
Рост +0.028%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.27
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.26%45.25%44.88%50.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.852.102.102.2754.05%47.70%47.62%44.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Talia Gibson (Гости)
Прогноз 55.11%1.81справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.95%
Преимущество +1.06%
Kelly +2.30%
Рост +0.045%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.85
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
50.00%54.75%55.12%57.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.611.711.711.8562.11%58.51%58.48%54.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Maja Chwalinska (Хозяева): 44.89%; Talia Gibson (Гости): 55.11%. Для исхода «Talia Gibson (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 1.81. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 1.85, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.95%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -16.95%E -9.16%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +1.95%E +1.06%K +2.30%G +0.045% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV +0.299%E +0.164%K +0.365%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 18:39 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.803%E -0.446%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -11.12%E -5.61%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -0.803%E -0.446%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.46%E -6.39%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.803%E -0.446%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -11.57%E -5.87%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -14.71%E -7.74%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.08%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 13:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| ReBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.28%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 12:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 23:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 09:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| betPARX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:38 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 15:24 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 15:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV +1.00%E +0.446%K +0.803%G +0.008% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| BetAnything | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.38%E -2.06%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 12:23 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| TAB | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.53%E -3.65%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 18:39 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.53%E -3.65%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Bally Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:39 |
| FanDuel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.14%E -0.981%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 18:37 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +1.90%E +0.838%K +1.50%G +0.028% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -7.42%E -4.41%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +1.90%E +0.838%K +1.50%G +0.028% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -7.42%E -4.41%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 18:24 |
| betano_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 18:29 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -9.32%E -4.61%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.40%EV -12.01%E -6.13%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.60%EV -10.17%E -6.24%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-04 18:39 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.72%E -6.62%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.27%E -7.00%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.27%E -7.00%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.24%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.27%E -7.00%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Novig | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07% | 1.4% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |