Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jessica Pegula v Magdalena Frech

2026-08-05 16:30 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Prediction 84.76%1.18fair odd
EV -4.22%
Edge -3.73%
Kelly -32.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.67%84.81%84.70%86.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.121.121.1392.59%89.64%89.29%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Magdalena Frech (Visit)

Prediction 15.24%6.56fair odd
EV +6.67%
Edge +0.952%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.074%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.58%15.19%15.30%17.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.206.166.257.0019.23%16.23%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jessica Pegula (Local): 84.76%; Magdalena Frech (Visit): 15.24%. For Magdalena Frech (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.56. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.00, producing a positive expected value of +6.67%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -4.22%E -3.73%K -32.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +6.67%E +0.952%K +1.11%G +0.074%2.8%2026-08-04 14:50
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +6.67%E +0.952%K +1.11%G +0.074%4.4%2026-08-04 08:30
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.76%E -6.15%K -67.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.67%E +0.952%K +1.11%G +0.074%5.2%2026-08-04 08:30
Sky Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.76%E -6.15%K -67.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.67%E +0.952%K +1.11%G +0.074%5.2%2026-08-04 08:29
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.76%E -6.15%K -67.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.67%E +0.952%K +1.11%G +0.074%5.2%2026-08-04 15:04
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 85.84%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.73I 14.86%NM 14.16%EV +2.55%E +0.379%K +0.445%G +0.011%4.9%2026-08-04 20:10
GTbets1.13I 88.50%NM 85.46%EV -4.22%E -3.73%K -32.45%G +0.000%6.64I 15.06%NM 14.54%EV +1.18%E +0.178%K +0.209%G +0.002%3.6%2026-08-04 07:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -0.952%E -0.146%K -0.173%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:44
Tipico (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.46%E -7.83%K -105.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -0.952%E -0.146%K -0.173%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 01:25
1xBet1.13I 88.50%NM 85.09%EV -4.22%E -3.73%K -32.45%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.91%EV -1.71%E -0.266%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:45
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.48%E -0.387%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 14:50
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.76%E -6.15%K -67.62%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -2.48%E -0.387%K -0.459%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 23:45
Marathon Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -4.00%E -0.635%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:40
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:13
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:44
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
Grosvenor1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
ATG (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Hard Rock Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
BetAnything1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:15
Betr (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 23:45
PointsBet (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -5.52%E -0.891%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 17:44
Fliff1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -5.52%E -0.891%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:15
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 84.58%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.42%EV -7.20%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 20:14
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.58%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.42%EV -7.20%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 20:15
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:15
betfred_uk1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 17:45
Betclic (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 20:18
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 18:15
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:45
Dabble (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 20:15
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 20:15
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 09:09
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:45
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 15:00
Coral1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 15:00
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 15:00
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 13:49
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 21:48
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.76%E -6.15%K -67.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 19:05
PMU (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -6.76%E -6.15%K -67.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -11.62%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 18:15
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -6.76%E -6.15%K -67.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -13.14%E -2.31%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 22:15
Unibet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -14.67%E -2.62%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 22:14
ReBet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -14.67%E -2.62%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 20:15
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.19%E -2.94%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 00:25
betano_uk1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.19%E -2.94%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 07:00
Neds1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.22%E -3.73%K -32.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -17.71%E -3.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.22%E -3.73%K -32.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -17.71%E -3.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 15:00
Winamax (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 82.67%EV -7.61%E -6.98%K -84.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -20.76%E -3.99%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-04 20:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-08-04 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-08-04 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-08-04 20:20
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-08-04 22:10
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%7.0%2026-08-04 22:45
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 85.54%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.46%7.2%2026-08-04 23:05