Language:English
Jessica Pegula v Magdalena Frech
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Prediction 86.75%1.15fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.969%
Kelly -7.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.81%86.67%86.63%88.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.101.101.1495.24%91.07%90.91%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Magdalena Frech (Visit)
Prediction 13.25%7.55fair odd
EV +12.62%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +1.68%
Growth +0.212%
assuming max odds 8.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.27%13.33%13.37%16.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.856.967.008.5017.09%14.38%14.29%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jessica Pegula (Local): 86.75%; Magdalena Frech (Visit): 13.25%. For Magdalena Frech (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.55. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +12.62%E +1.49%K +1.68%G +0.212% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 08:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +12.62%E +1.49%K +1.68%G +0.212% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051% | 3.4% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.86%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.96I 12.56%NM 12.14%EV +5.47%E +0.687%K +0.786%G +0.043% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.91%E -8.49%K -178.25%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +3.35%E +0.429%K +0.492%G +0.016% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.71%E -3.34%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV +2.69%E +0.347%K +0.398%G +0.011% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +0.831%E +0.109%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +0.831%E +0.109%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 14:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.91%EV -1.97%E -1.75%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.09%EV -0.627%E -0.084%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.627%E -0.084%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.627%E -0.084%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.627%E -0.084%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -3.28%E -0.449%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 16:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -3.94%E -0.543%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 08:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -7.18%E -6.71%K -102.53%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -3.94%E -0.543%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -3.71%E -3.34%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -4.60%E -0.639%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -4.60%E -0.639%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.09%EV -8.04%E -7.59%K -134.08%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 12.91%EV -5.26%E -0.736%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 09:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 10:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.18%E -6.71%K -102.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.46%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 6.96I 14.37%NM 13.54%EV -7.78%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.46%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 6.96I 14.37%NM 13.54%EV -7.78%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -8.58%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.56%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 12:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.56%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 08:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.56%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 08:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -3.71%E -3.34%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -11.23%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 16:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.71%E -3.34%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 16:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.68%EV -7.18%E -6.71%K -102.53%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-05 16:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.50%E -3.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 09:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.50%E -3.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 09:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -20.50%E -3.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -1.10%E -0.969%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -21.03%E -3.53%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -1.97%E -1.75%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -22.49%E -3.84%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.36% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.64% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |