语言:简体中文
Jessica Pegula v Magdalena Frech
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Jessica Pegula (主队)
预测 86.75%1.15公平赔率
EV -1.10%
优势 -0.969%
Kelly -7.89%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.14
博彩公司预测分布
83.81%86.67%86.63%88.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.051.101.101.1495.24%91.07%90.91%87.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
Magdalena Frech (客队)
预测 13.25%7.55公平赔率
EV +12.62%
优势 +1.49%
Kelly +1.68%
增长率 +0.212%
假设最高赔率为 8.50
博彩公司预测分布
11.27%13.33%13.37%16.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.856.967.008.5017.09%14.38%14.29%11.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Jessica Pegula (主队)：86.75%；Magdalena Frech (客队)：13.25%。 对于“Magdalena Frech (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.55。 当时有12家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.50，对应+12.62%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +12.62%E +1.49%K +1.68%G +0.212% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 08:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +12.62%E +1.49%K +1.68%G +0.212% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051% | 3.4% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.86%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.96I 12.56%NM 12.14%EV +5.47%E +0.687%K +0.786%G +0.043% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.91%E -8.49%K -178.25%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +3.35%E +0.429%K +0.492%G +0.016% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.71%E -3.34%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV +2.69%E +0.347%K +0.398%G +0.011% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +0.831%E +0.109%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +0.831%E +0.109%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 14:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.91%EV -1.97%E -1.75%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.09%EV -0.627%E -0.084%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.627%E -0.084%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.627%E -0.084%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.627%E -0.084%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -3.28%E -0.449%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 16:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -3.94%E -0.543%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 08:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -7.18%E -6.71%K -102.53%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -3.94%E -0.543%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -3.71%E -3.34%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -4.60%E -0.639%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -4.60%E -0.639%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.09%EV -8.04%E -7.59%K -134.08%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 12.91%EV -5.26%E -0.736%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 09:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 10:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.18%E -6.71%K -102.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.46%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 6.96I 14.37%NM 13.54%EV -7.78%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.46%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 6.96I 14.37%NM 13.54%EV -7.78%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -8.58%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.56%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 12:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.56%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 08:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.56%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 08:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -3.71%E -3.34%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -11.23%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 16:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.71%E -3.34%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 16:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.68%EV -7.18%E -6.71%K -102.53%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-05 16:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.50%E -3.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 09:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.50%E -3.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 09:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -20.50%E -3.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -1.10%E -0.969%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -21.03%E -3.53%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -1.97%E -1.75%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -22.49%E -3.84%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.36% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.64% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |