Язык:Русский
Jessica Pegula v Magdalena Frech
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Jessica Pegula (Хозяева)
Прогноз 86.75%1.15справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.10%
Преимущество -0.969%
Kelly -7.89%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.14
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
83.81%86.67%86.63%88.73%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.051.101.101.1495.24%91.07%90.91%87.72%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Magdalena Frech (Гости)
Прогноз 13.25%7.55справедливый коэффициент
EV +12.62%
Преимущество +1.49%
Kelly +1.68%
Рост +0.212%
при максимальном коэффициенте 8.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
11.27%13.33%13.37%16.19%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.856.967.008.5017.09%14.38%14.29%11.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Jessica Pegula (Хозяева): 86.75%; Magdalena Frech (Гости): 13.25%. Для исхода «Magdalena Frech (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 7.55. 12 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 8.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +12.62%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +12.62%E +1.49%K +1.68%G +0.212% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 08:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +12.62%E +1.49%K +1.68%G +0.212% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051% | 3.4% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.86%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.96I 12.56%NM 12.14%EV +5.47%E +0.687%K +0.786%G +0.043% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.91%E -8.49%K -178.25%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +3.35%E +0.429%K +0.492%G +0.016% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.71%E -3.34%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV +2.69%E +0.347%K +0.398%G +0.011% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +0.831%E +0.109%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +0.831%E +0.109%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 14:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.91%EV -1.97%E -1.75%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.09%EV -0.627%E -0.084%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.627%E -0.084%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.627%E -0.084%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.627%E -0.084%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -3.28%E -0.449%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 16:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -3.94%E -0.543%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 08:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -7.18%E -6.71%K -102.53%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -3.94%E -0.543%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -3.71%E -3.34%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -4.60%E -0.639%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -4.60%E -0.639%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.09%EV -8.04%E -7.59%K -134.08%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 12.91%EV -5.26%E -0.736%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 09:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 10:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.18%E -6.71%K -102.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.46%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 6.96I 14.37%NM 13.54%EV -7.78%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.46%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 6.96I 14.37%NM 13.54%EV -7.78%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -8.58%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.56%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 12:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.56%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 08:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.56%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 08:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -3.71%E -3.34%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -11.23%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 16:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.71%E -3.34%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 16:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.68%EV -7.18%E -6.71%K -102.53%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-05 16:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.50%E -3.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 09:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.50%E -3.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 09:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -20.50%E -3.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -1.10%E -0.969%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -21.03%E -3.53%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -1.97%E -1.75%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -22.49%E -3.84%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.36% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.64% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |