Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jessica Pegula v Magdalena Frech

2026-08-05 16:30 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Prévision 84.76%1.18cote équitable
EV -4.22%
Avantage -3.73%
Kelly -32.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.67%84.81%84.70%86.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.081.121.121.1392.59%89.64%89.29%88.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Magdalena Frech (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.24%6.56cote équitable
EV +6.67%
Avantage +0.952%
Kelly +1.11%
Croissance +0.074%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.58%15.19%15.30%17.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.206.166.257.0019.23%16.24%16.00%14.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Jessica Pegula (Local) : 84.76% ; Magdalena Frech (Visiteur) : 15.24%. Pour Magdalena Frech (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 6.56. 7 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 7.00, pour une espérance positive de +6.67%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -4.22%E -3.73%K -32.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +6.67%E +0.952%K +1.11%G +0.074%2.8%2026-08-04 14:50
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +6.67%E +0.952%K +1.11%G +0.074%4.4%2026-08-04 08:30
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.76%E -6.15%K -67.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.67%E +0.952%K +1.11%G +0.074%5.2%2026-08-04 08:30
Sky Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.76%E -6.15%K -67.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.67%E +0.952%K +1.11%G +0.074%5.2%2026-08-04 08:29
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.76%E -6.15%K -67.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.67%E +0.952%K +1.11%G +0.074%5.2%2026-08-04 15:04
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 85.84%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.73I 14.86%NM 14.16%EV +2.55%E +0.379%K +0.445%G +0.011%4.9%2026-08-04 20:10
GTbets1.13I 88.50%NM 85.46%EV -4.22%E -3.73%K -32.45%G +0.000%6.64I 15.06%NM 14.54%EV +1.18%E +0.178%K +0.209%G +0.002%3.6%2026-08-04 07:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -0.952%E -0.146%K -0.173%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:44
Tipico (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.46%E -7.83%K -105.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -0.952%E -0.146%K -0.173%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 01:25
1xBet1.13I 88.50%NM 85.09%EV -4.22%E -3.73%K -32.45%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.91%EV -1.71%E -0.266%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:45
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.48%E -0.387%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 14:50
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.76%E -6.15%K -67.62%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -2.48%E -0.387%K -0.459%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 23:45
Marathon Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -4.00%E -0.635%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:40
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:13
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:44
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
Grosvenor1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
ATG (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Hard Rock Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Betr (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 23:45
PointsBet (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -5.52%E -0.891%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 17:44
Fliff1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -5.52%E -0.891%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:15
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 84.58%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.42%EV -7.20%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 20:14
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.58%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.42%EV -7.20%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 20:15
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:15
betfred_uk1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 17:45
Betclic (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 20:18
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 18:15
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:45
Dabble (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 20:15
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 20:15
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 09:09
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:45
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 15:00
Coral1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 15:00
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 15:00
BetAnything1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 00:05
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 13:49
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 21:48
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.76%E -6.15%K -67.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 19:05
PMU (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -6.76%E -6.15%K -67.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -11.62%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 18:15
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -6.76%E -6.15%K -67.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -13.14%E -2.31%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 22:15
Unibet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -14.67%E -2.62%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 22:14
ReBet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -5.91%E -5.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -14.67%E -2.62%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 20:15
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.19%E -2.94%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 00:25
betano_uk1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.07%E -4.52%K -42.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.19%E -2.94%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 07:00
Neds1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.22%E -3.73%K -32.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -17.71%E -3.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.22%E -3.73%K -32.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -17.71%E -3.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 15:00
Winamax (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 82.67%EV -7.61%E -6.98%K -84.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -20.76%E -3.99%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-04 20:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-08-04 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-08-04 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-08-04 20:20
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-08-04 22:10
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%4.6%2026-08-04 23:10
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 85.20%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%4.8%2026-08-05 00:10