Langue:Français
Jessica Pegula v Magdalena Frech
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Prévision 86.75%1.15cote équitable
EV -1.10%
Avantage -0.969%
Kelly -7.89%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.14
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.81%86.67%86.63%88.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.051.101.101.1495.24%91.07%90.91%87.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Magdalena Frech (Visiteur)
Prévision 13.25%7.55cote équitable
EV +12.62%
Avantage +1.49%
Kelly +1.68%
Croissance +0.212%
avec la cote maximale 8.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.27%13.33%13.37%16.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.856.967.008.5017.09%14.38%14.29%11.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jessica Pegula (Local) : 86.75% ; Magdalena Frech (Visiteur) : 13.25%. Pour Magdalena Frech (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.55. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.50, soit une espérance positive de +12.62%.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +12.62%E +1.49%K +1.68%G +0.212% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 08:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +12.62%E +1.49%K +1.68%G +0.212% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051% | 3.4% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.86%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.96I 12.56%NM 12.14%EV +5.47%E +0.687%K +0.786%G +0.043% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.91%E -8.49%K -178.25%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +3.35%E +0.429%K +0.492%G +0.016% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.71%E -3.34%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV +2.69%E +0.347%K +0.398%G +0.011% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +0.831%E +0.109%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +0.831%E +0.109%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 14:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.91%EV -1.97%E -1.75%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.09%EV -0.627%E -0.084%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.627%E -0.084%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.627%E -0.084%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.627%E -0.084%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -3.28%E -0.449%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 16:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -3.94%E -0.543%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 08:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -7.18%E -6.71%K -102.53%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -3.94%E -0.543%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -3.71%E -3.34%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -4.60%E -0.639%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -4.60%E -0.639%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.09%EV -8.04%E -7.59%K -134.08%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 12.91%EV -5.26%E -0.736%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 09:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 10:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.18%E -6.71%K -102.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.46%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 6.96I 14.37%NM 13.54%EV -7.78%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.46%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 6.96I 14.37%NM 13.54%EV -7.78%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -8.58%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.56%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 12:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.56%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 08:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.56%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 08:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -3.71%E -3.34%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -11.23%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 16:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.71%E -3.34%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 16:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.68%EV -7.18%E -6.71%K -102.53%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-05 16:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.50%E -3.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 09:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.50%E -3.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 09:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -20.50%E -3.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -1.10%E -0.969%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -21.03%E -3.53%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -1.97%E -1.75%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -22.49%E -3.84%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.36% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.64% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |