Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula v Magdalena Frech

Início: 2026-08-05 16:55 UTC

Final: Jessica Pegula 2–1 Magdalena Frech

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Previsão 86.75%1.15odd justa
EV -1.10%
Vantagem -0.969%
Kelly -7.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
83.81%86.67%86.63%88.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.051.101.101.1495.24%91.07%90.91%87.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Magdalena Frech (Visitante)

Previsão 13.25%7.55odd justa
EV +12.62%
Vantagem +1.49%
Kelly +1.68%
Crescimento +0.212%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.27%13.33%13.37%16.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.856.967.008.5017.09%14.38%14.29%11.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jessica Pegula (Local): 86.75%; Magdalena Frech (Visitante): 13.25%. Para Magdalena Frech (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.55. 12 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 8.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +12.62%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +12.62%E +1.49%K +1.68%G +0.212%3.5%2026-08-05 08:19
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +12.62%E +1.49%K +1.68%G +0.212%4.4%2026-08-05 16:50
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051%3.4%2026-08-05 16:40
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051%5.1%2026-08-05 16:40
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051%5.1%2026-08-05 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051%5.1%2026-08-05 16:40
Bovada🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051%5.1%2026-08-05 16:38
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.86%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%7.96I 12.56%NM 12.14%EV +5.47%E +0.687%K +0.786%G +0.043%3.5%2026-08-05 15:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.91%E -8.49%K -178.25%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +3.35%E +0.429%K +0.492%G +0.016%8.1%2026-08-05 14:20
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.71%E -3.34%K -33.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV +2.69%E +0.347%K +0.398%G +0.011%3.0%2026-08-05 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +0.831%E +0.109%K +0.126%G +0.001%4.0%2026-08-05 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +0.831%E +0.109%K +0.126%G +0.001%4.0%2026-08-05 14:30
GTbets🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.91%EV -1.97%E -1.75%K -15.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.09%EV -0.627%E -0.084%K -0.096%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-05 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.627%E -0.084%K -0.096%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:10
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.627%E -0.084%K -0.096%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.627%E -0.084%K -0.096%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -3.28%E -0.449%K -0.520%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 16:44
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -3.94%E -0.543%K -0.630%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 08:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -7.18%E -6.71%K -102.53%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -3.94%E -0.543%K -0.630%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 14:45
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -3.71%E -3.34%K -33.70%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -4.60%E -0.639%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 16:40
ReBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -4.60%E -0.639%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 16:40
Fliff🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.09%EV -8.04%E -7.59%K -134.08%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 12.91%EV -5.26%E -0.736%K -0.856%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:40
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 09:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 16:40
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 16:45
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 16:45
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 10:43
SportsBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.18%E -6.71%K -102.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 14:20
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.46%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000%6.96I 14.37%NM 13.54%EV -7.78%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 16:40
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.46%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000%6.96I 14.37%NM 13.54%EV -7.78%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -8.58%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 16:45
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.56%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 12:20
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.56%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 08:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.56%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 08:05
BetAnything🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -3.71%E -3.34%K -33.70%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -11.23%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 16:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 16:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.71%E -3.34%K -33.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:45
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 16:49
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 16:45
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:50
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:45
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:45
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:45
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:50
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:45
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:45
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.68%EV -7.18%E -6.71%K -102.53%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-05 16:48
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.50%E -3.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 09:43
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.50%E -3.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 09:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -20.50%E -3.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-05 16:45
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -1.10%E -0.969%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -21.03%E -3.53%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 16:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -1.97%E -1.75%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -22.49%E -3.84%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 16:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-08-05 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-08-05 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-08-05 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-08-05 16:50
Matchbook◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-08-05 16:50
ProphetX◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.36%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.64%1.1%2026-08-05 16:50
Novig◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-08-05 16:45