StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jessica Pegula v Magdalena Frech

Matchstart: 2026-08-05 16:55 UTC

Slutresultat: Jessica Pegula 2–1 Magdalena Frech

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

65 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jessica Pegula (Hemma)

Prognos 86.75%1.15rättvist odds
EV -1.10%
Fördel -0.969%
Kelly -7.89%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.14

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
83.81%86.67%86.63%88.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.051.101.101.1495.24%91.07%90.91%87.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Magdalena Frech (Borta)

Prognos 13.25%7.55rättvist odds
EV +12.62%
Fördel +1.49%
Kelly +1.68%
Tillväxt +0.212%

med antagandet om högsta odds 8.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
11.27%13.33%13.37%16.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.856.967.008.5017.09%14.38%14.29%11.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jessica Pegula (Hemma): 86.75%; Magdalena Frech (Borta): 13.25%. För Magdalena Frech (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 7.55. 12 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 8.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +12.62%.

Spelbolagsodds (65 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +12.62%E +1.49%K +1.68%G +0.212%3.5%2026-08-05 08:19
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +12.62%E +1.49%K +1.68%G +0.212%4.4%2026-08-05 16:50
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051%3.4%2026-08-05 16:40
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051%5.1%2026-08-05 16:40
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051%5.1%2026-08-05 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051%5.1%2026-08-05 16:40
Bovada🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.00%E +0.750%K +0.857%G +0.051%5.1%2026-08-05 16:38
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.86%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%7.96I 12.56%NM 12.14%EV +5.47%E +0.687%K +0.786%G +0.043%3.5%2026-08-05 15:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.91%E -8.49%K -178.25%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +3.35%E +0.429%K +0.492%G +0.016%8.1%2026-08-05 14:20
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.71%E -3.34%K -33.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV +2.69%E +0.347%K +0.398%G +0.011%3.0%2026-08-05 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +0.831%E +0.109%K +0.126%G +0.001%4.0%2026-08-05 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +0.831%E +0.109%K +0.126%G +0.001%4.0%2026-08-05 14:30
GTbets🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.91%EV -1.97%E -1.75%K -15.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.09%EV -0.627%E -0.084%K -0.096%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-05 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.627%E -0.084%K -0.096%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:10
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.627%E -0.084%K -0.096%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.627%E -0.084%K -0.096%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.11%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -3.28%E -0.449%K -0.520%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 16:44
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -3.94%E -0.543%K -0.630%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 08:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -7.18%E -6.71%K -102.53%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -3.94%E -0.543%K -0.630%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 14:45
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -3.71%E -3.34%K -33.70%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -4.60%E -0.639%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 16:40
ReBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -4.60%E -0.639%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 16:40
Fliff🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.09%EV -8.04%E -7.59%K -134.08%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 12.91%EV -5.26%E -0.736%K -0.856%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:40
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 09:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 16:40
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 16:45
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 16:45
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.31%E -5.84%K -78.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 10:43
SportsBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.18%E -6.71%K -102.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -7.25%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 14:20
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.46%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000%6.96I 14.37%NM 13.54%EV -7.78%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 16:40
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.46%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000%6.96I 14.37%NM 13.54%EV -7.78%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -8.58%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 16:45
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.56%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 12:20
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.56%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 08:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.56%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 08:05
BetAnything🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -3.71%E -3.34%K -33.70%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -11.23%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 16:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 16:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.71%E -3.34%K -33.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:45
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 16:49
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 16:45
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -13.88%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:50
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:45
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:45
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:45
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:50
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:45
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:45
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.84%E -2.54%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.68%EV -7.18%E -6.71%K -102.53%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%EV -15.20%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-05 16:48
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.50%E -3.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 09:43
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.57%E -4.16%K -45.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.50%E -3.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 09:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.44%E -4.99%K -60.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -20.50%E -3.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-05 16:45
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -1.10%E -0.969%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -21.03%E -3.53%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 16:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -1.97%E -1.75%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -22.49%E -3.84%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 16:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-08-05 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-08-05 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-08-05 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-08-05 16:50
Matchbook◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-08-05 16:50
ProphetX◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.36%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.64%1.1%2026-08-05 16:50
Novig◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-08-05 16:45