Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daria Kasatkina v Elena Rybakina

2026-08-05 16:30 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daria Kasatkina (Local)

Prediction 16.12%6.20fair odd
EV +12.83%
Edge +1.83%
Kelly +2.14%
Growth +0.274%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.79%16.08%16.18%18.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.775.707.0020.00%17.33%17.54%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Elena Rybakina (Visit)

Prediction 83.88%1.19fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -3.07%
Kelly -23.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.57%83.92%83.82%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.131.1590.91%88.35%88.50%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Daria Kasatkina (Local): 16.12%; Elena Rybakina (Visit): 83.88%. For Daria Kasatkina (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.20. 9 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.00, producing a positive expected value of +12.83%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +12.83%E +1.83%K +2.14%G +0.274%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -6.05%E -5.40%K -50.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 12:00
Winamax (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +8.80%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.135%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -6.05%E -5.40%K -50.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 13:20
Pinnacle6.58I 15.20%NM 14.66%EV +6.06%E +0.921%K +1.09%G +0.066%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.34%EV -5.21%E -4.61%K -40.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 18:50
Coolbet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +4.77%E +0.734%K +0.867%G +0.041%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 16:50
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +4.77%E +0.734%K +0.867%G +0.041%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.05%E -5.40%K -50.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.77%E +0.734%K +0.867%G +0.041%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 13:20
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.77%E +0.734%K +0.867%G +0.041%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 13:20
FanDuel6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +1.55%E +0.245%K +0.292%G +0.005%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -6.05%E -5.40%K -50.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 13:19
BetMGM6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +0.740%E +0.118%K +0.141%G +0.001%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 13:20
DraftKings6.03I 16.58%NM 15.78%EV -2.81%E -0.465%K -0.558%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.22%EV -5.21%E -4.61%K -40.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 21:45
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.21%E -4.61%K -40.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 07:15
Bovada6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.21%E -4.61%K -40.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 15:00
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.05%E -5.40%K -50.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 07:15
betfred_uk6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.05%E -5.40%K -50.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 11:23
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.05%E -5.40%K -50.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 16:50
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.05%E -5.40%K -50.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 16:50
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.05%E -5.40%K -50.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 16:50
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.05%E -5.40%K -50.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 16:50
1xBet5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -3.93%E -0.660%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 16:00
BetOnline.ag5.93I 16.86%NM 16.24%EV -4.42%E -0.745%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.76%EV -3.54%E -3.07%K -23.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 15:04
LowVig.ag5.93I 16.86%NM 16.24%EV -4.42%E -0.745%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.76%EV -3.54%E -3.07%K -23.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 15:05
Fanatics5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -4.90%E -0.831%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.21%E -4.61%K -40.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:24
Marathon Bet5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -5.71%E -0.976%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -5.21%E -4.61%K -40.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 15:58
PointsBet (AU)5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -5.71%E -0.976%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -5.21%E -4.61%K -40.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:24
NetBet (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -6.89%E -6.21%K -62.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 18:54
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.21%E -4.61%K -40.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 14:20
BetAnything5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.21%E -4.61%K -40.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.05%E -5.40%K -50.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 13:20
Neds5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.05%E -5.40%K -50.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 13:20
SportsBet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -8.12%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -5.21%E -4.61%K -40.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 19:05
theScore Bet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -8.12%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -6.05%E -5.40%K -50.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 11:24
Tipico (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -8.12%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -7.73%E -7.03%K -77.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 08:19
Betsson5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -8.93%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.21%E -4.61%K -40.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 20:00
NordicBet5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -8.93%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.21%E -4.61%K -40.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 20:00
GTbets5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -9.74%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 10:45
Betclic (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -9.74%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.21%E -4.61%K -40.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 18:44
BetRivers5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.54%E -3.07%K -23.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Virgin Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.54%E -3.07%K -23.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Unibet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.54%E -3.07%K -23.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Casumo5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.54%E -3.07%K -23.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
TABtouch5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.54%E -3.07%K -23.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Unibet (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.54%E -3.07%K -23.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:05
Grosvenor5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.54%E -3.07%K -23.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:39
LiveScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.54%E -3.07%K -23.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.54%E -3.07%K -23.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Unibet (NL)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.54%E -3.07%K -23.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:40
ATG (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.54%E -3.07%K -23.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Svenska Spel5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.54%E -3.07%K -23.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:05
betPARX5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.54%E -3.07%K -23.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Bally Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.54%E -3.07%K -23.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:05
Hard Rock Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.54%E -3.07%K -23.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:40
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 22:35
Dabble (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:35
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.38%E -3.84%K -31.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:35
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.21%E -4.61%K -40.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 21:40
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.05%E -5.40%K -50.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 13:20
Caesars5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.05%E -5.40%K -50.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 13:43
PMU (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.21%E -4.61%K -40.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 10:39
LeoVegas5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -6.05%E -5.40%K -50.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 22:35
Unibet (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -16.18%E -3.11%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -6.05%E -5.40%K -50.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 22:35
ReBet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -16.18%E -3.11%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -6.05%E -5.40%K -50.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 15:05
betano_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -19.41%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.21%E -4.61%K -40.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 15:29
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -19.41%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.21%E -4.61%K -40.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 15:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%2.0%2026-08-04 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%2.0%2026-08-04 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%2.0%2026-08-04 18:40
Matchbook7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%2.0%2026-08-04 20:35
Smarkets7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%2.8%2026-08-04 22:55
Novig6.45I 15.50%NM 15.02%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.98%3.2%2026-08-04 23:05