Language:English
Daria Kasatkina v Elena Rybakina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daria Kasatkina (Local)
Prediction 16.27%6.15fair odd
EV +9.80%
Edge +1.45%
Kelly +1.70%
Growth +0.167%
assuming max odds 6.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.34%16.32%16.37%19.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.705.506.7520.00%17.55%18.18%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elena Rybakina (Visit)
Prediction 83.73%1.19fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -6.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.91%83.68%83.63%85.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.131.1890.91%88.18%88.50%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daria Kasatkina (Local): 16.27%; Elena Rybakina (Visit): 83.73%. For Daria Kasatkina (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.15. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.80%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +9.80%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.167% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.71%EV +7.52%E +1.14%K +1.34%G +0.101% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.29%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 13:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 13:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +2.48%E +0.393%K +0.468%G +0.012% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +1.67%E +0.266%K +0.317%G +0.005% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 13:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.60%EV +0.364%E +0.059%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.40%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 12:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 11:23 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.89%E -7.18%K -78.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.24%EV -3.54%E -0.597%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.76%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.24%EV -3.54%E -0.597%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.76%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -4.03%E -0.683%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.65%E -0.975%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.65%E -0.975%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.65%E -0.975%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -8.09%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -8.09%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 12:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 13:52 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 13:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.16%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 12:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 10:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -15.41%E -2.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -17.04%E -3.34%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -17.85%E -3.54%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -1.19%E -1.01%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -1.19%E -1.01%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 14:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 14:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| Novig◎ | 6.45I 15.50%NM 15.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.65% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 1.6% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |