StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Daria Kasatkina v Elena Rybakina

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-05 16:38 UTC

Endstand: Daria Kasatkina 1–2 Elena Rybakina

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Daria Kasatkina (Heim)

Prognose 16.27%6.15faire Quote
EV +9.80%
Vorteil +1.45%
Kelly +1.70%
Wachstum +0.167%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.34%16.32%16.37%19.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.005.705.506.7520.00%17.55%18.18%14.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Elena Rybakina (Auswärts)

Prognose 83.73%1.19faire Quote
EV -1.19%
Vorteil -1.01%
Kelly -6.64%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.18

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
80.91%83.68%83.63%85.66%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.101.131.131.1890.91%88.18%88.50%84.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Daria Kasatkina (Heim): 16.27%; Elena Rybakina (Auswärts): 83.73%. Für Daria Kasatkina (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.15. 10 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.75 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +9.80%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Winamax (DE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +9.80%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.167%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 15:15
Pinnacle🎯6.61I 15.13%NM 14.71%EV +7.52%E +1.14%K +1.34%G +0.101%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.29%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-05 16:15
Coolbet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-05 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 15:15
BoyleSports🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 13:20
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 13:20
FanDuel🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +2.48%E +0.393%K +0.468%G +0.012%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:35
BetMGM🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +1.67%E +0.266%K +0.317%G +0.005%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 13:20
DraftKings🎯6.17I 16.21%NM 15.60%EV +0.364%E +0.059%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.40%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 15:15
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 12:20
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 12:19
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 11:23
NetBet (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.89%E -7.18%K -78.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯5.93I 16.86%NM 16.24%EV -3.54%E -0.597%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.76%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯5.93I 16.86%NM 16.24%EV -3.54%E -0.597%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.76%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 15:15
Fanatics🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -4.03%E -0.683%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:55
ReBet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.65%E -0.975%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.65%E -0.975%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 16:25
LeoVegas🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.65%E -0.975%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 14:55
theScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 16:34
Dabble (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 15:15
BetAnything🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 13:20
Neds🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 13:20
Betsson🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -8.09%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:55
NordicBet🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -8.09%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:55
BetRivers🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Virgin Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Unibet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Casumo🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
TABtouch🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Unibet (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:05
Grosvenor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:39
LiveScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Unibet (NL)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:40
ATG (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Svenska Spel🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:05
betPARX🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Bally Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:40
PlayUp🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 12:20
TAB🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 13:52
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 16:35
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 16:35
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 16:35
Caesars🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 13:43
SportsBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.16%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 12:20
PMU (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 10:39
Tipico (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 16:35
Fliff🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -15.41%E -2.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -17.04%E -3.34%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-05 16:34
1xBet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -17.85%E -3.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -1.19%E -1.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 16:25
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -1.19%E -1.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 16:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 16:35
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 14:53
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 14:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-08-05 16:20
Novig◎6.45I 15.50%NM 15.35%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.65%1.0%2026-08-05 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-08-05 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-08-05 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-08-05 16:35
Smarkets◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%1.6%2026-08-05 16:35
ProphetX◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%2.1%2026-08-05 16:35