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Daria Kasatkina v Elena Rybakina
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Daria Kasatkina (Хозяева)
Прогноз 16.27%6.15справедливый коэффициент
EV +9.80%
Преимущество +1.45%
Kelly +1.70%
Рост +0.167%
при максимальном коэффициенте 6.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.34%16.32%16.37%19.09%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.005.705.506.7520.00%17.55%18.18%14.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Elena Rybakina (Гости)
Прогноз 83.73%1.19справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.19%
Преимущество -1.01%
Kelly -6.64%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.18
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
80.91%83.68%83.63%85.66%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.101.131.131.1890.91%88.18%88.50%84.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Daria Kasatkina (Хозяева): 16.27%; Elena Rybakina (Гости): 83.73%. Для исхода «Daria Kasatkina (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.15. 10 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.75, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +9.80%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +9.80%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.167% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.71%EV +7.52%E +1.14%K +1.34%G +0.101% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.29%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 13:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 13:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +2.48%E +0.393%K +0.468%G +0.012% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +1.67%E +0.266%K +0.317%G +0.005% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 13:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.60%EV +0.364%E +0.059%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.40%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 12:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 11:23 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.89%E -7.18%K -78.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.24%EV -3.54%E -0.597%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.76%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.24%EV -3.54%E -0.597%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.76%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -4.03%E -0.683%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.65%E -0.975%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.65%E -0.975%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.65%E -0.975%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -8.09%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -8.09%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 12:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 13:52 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 13:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.16%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 12:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 10:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -15.41%E -2.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -17.04%E -3.34%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -17.85%E -3.54%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -1.19%E -1.01%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -1.19%E -1.01%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 14:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 14:54 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| Novig◎ | 6.45I 15.50%NM 15.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.65% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 1.6% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |