Langue:Français
Daria Kasatkina v Elena Rybakina
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Daria Kasatkina (Local)
Prévision 16.27%6.15cote équitable
EV +9.80%
Avantage +1.45%
Kelly +1.70%
Croissance +0.167%
avec la cote maximale 6.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.34%16.32%16.37%19.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.705.506.7520.00%17.55%18.18%14.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Elena Rybakina (Visiteur)
Prévision 83.73%1.19cote équitable
EV -1.19%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -6.64%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
80.91%83.68%83.63%85.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.101.131.131.1890.91%88.18%88.50%84.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Daria Kasatkina (Local) : 16.27% ; Elena Rybakina (Visiteur) : 83.73%. Pour Daria Kasatkina (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.15. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.75, soit une espérance positive de +9.80%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +9.80%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.167% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.71%EV +7.52%E +1.14%K +1.34%G +0.101% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.29%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 13:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 13:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +2.48%E +0.393%K +0.468%G +0.012% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +1.67%E +0.266%K +0.317%G +0.005% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 13:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.60%EV +0.364%E +0.059%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.40%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 12:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 11:23 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.89%E -7.18%K -78.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.24%EV -3.54%E -0.597%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.76%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.24%EV -3.54%E -0.597%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.76%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -4.03%E -0.683%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.65%E -0.975%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.65%E -0.975%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.65%E -0.975%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -8.09%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -8.09%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 12:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 13:52 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 13:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.16%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 12:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 10:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -15.41%E -2.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -17.04%E -3.34%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -17.85%E -3.54%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -1.19%E -1.01%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -1.19%E -1.01%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 14:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 14:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| Novig◎ | 6.45I 15.50%NM 15.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.65% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 1.6% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |