StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Daria Kasatkina v Elena Rybakina

Matchstart: 2026-08-05 16:38 UTC

Slutresultat: Daria Kasatkina 1–2 Elena Rybakina

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Daria Kasatkina (Hemma)

Prognos 16.27%6.15rättvist odds
EV +9.80%
Fördel +1.45%
Kelly +1.70%
Tillväxt +0.167%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.34%16.32%16.37%19.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.005.705.506.7520.00%17.55%18.18%14.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Elena Rybakina (Borta)

Prognos 83.73%1.19rättvist odds
EV -1.19%
Fördel -1.01%
Kelly -6.64%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.18

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
80.91%83.68%83.63%85.66%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.101.131.131.1890.91%88.18%88.50%84.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Daria Kasatkina (Hemma): 16.27%; Elena Rybakina (Borta): 83.73%. För Daria Kasatkina (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.15. 10 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.75, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +9.80%.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Winamax (DE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +9.80%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.167%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 15:15
Pinnacle🎯6.61I 15.13%NM 14.71%EV +7.52%E +1.14%K +1.34%G +0.101%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.29%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-05 16:15
Coolbet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-05 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 15:15
BoyleSports🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 13:20
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 13:20
FanDuel🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +2.48%E +0.393%K +0.468%G +0.012%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:35
BetMGM🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +1.67%E +0.266%K +0.317%G +0.005%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 13:20
DraftKings🎯6.17I 16.21%NM 15.60%EV +0.364%E +0.059%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.40%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 15:15
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 12:20
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 12:19
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 11:23
NetBet (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.89%E -7.18%K -78.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯5.93I 16.86%NM 16.24%EV -3.54%E -0.597%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.76%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯5.93I 16.86%NM 16.24%EV -3.54%E -0.597%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.76%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 15:15
Fanatics🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -4.03%E -0.683%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:55
ReBet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.65%E -0.975%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.65%E -0.975%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 16:25
LeoVegas🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.65%E -0.975%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 14:55
theScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 16:34
Dabble (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 15:15
BetAnything🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 13:20
Neds🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 13:20
Betsson🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -8.09%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:55
NordicBet🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -8.09%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:55
BetRivers🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Virgin Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Unibet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Casumo🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
TABtouch🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Unibet (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:05
Grosvenor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:39
LiveScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Unibet (NL)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:40
ATG (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Svenska Spel🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:05
betPARX🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Bally Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:40
PlayUp🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 12:20
TAB🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 13:52
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 16:35
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 16:35
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 16:35
Caesars🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 13:43
SportsBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.16%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 12:20
PMU (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 10:39
Tipico (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 16:35
Fliff🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -15.41%E -2.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -17.04%E -3.34%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-05 16:34
1xBet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -17.85%E -3.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -1.19%E -1.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 16:25
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -1.19%E -1.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 16:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 16:35
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 14:53
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 14:54
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-08-05 16:20
Novig◎6.45I 15.50%NM 15.35%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.65%1.0%2026-08-05 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-08-05 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-08-05 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-08-05 16:35
Smarkets◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%1.6%2026-08-05 16:35
ProphetX◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%2.1%2026-08-05 16:35