Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daria Kasatkina v Elena Rybakina

Início: 2026-08-05 16:38 UTC

Final: Daria Kasatkina 1–2 Elena Rybakina

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daria Kasatkina (Local)

Previsão 16.27%6.15odd justa
EV +9.80%
Vantagem +1.45%
Kelly +1.70%
Crescimento +0.167%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.34%16.32%16.37%19.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.005.705.506.7520.00%17.55%18.18%14.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Elena Rybakina (Visitante)

Previsão 83.73%1.19odd justa
EV -1.19%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -6.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
80.91%83.68%83.63%85.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.101.131.131.1890.91%88.18%88.50%84.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Daria Kasatkina (Local): 16.27%; Elena Rybakina (Visitante): 83.73%. Para Daria Kasatkina (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.15. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +9.80%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +9.80%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.167%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 15:15
Pinnacle🎯6.61I 15.13%NM 14.71%EV +7.52%E +1.14%K +1.34%G +0.101%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.29%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-05 16:15
Coolbet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-05 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 15:15
BoyleSports🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 13:20
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 13:20
FanDuel🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +2.48%E +0.393%K +0.468%G +0.012%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:35
BetMGM🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +1.67%E +0.266%K +0.317%G +0.005%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 13:20
DraftKings🎯6.17I 16.21%NM 15.60%EV +0.364%E +0.059%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.40%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 15:15
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 12:20
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 12:19
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 11:23
NetBet (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.89%E -7.18%K -78.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯5.93I 16.86%NM 16.24%EV -3.54%E -0.597%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.76%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯5.93I 16.86%NM 16.24%EV -3.54%E -0.597%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.76%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 15:15
Fanatics🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -4.03%E -0.683%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:55
ReBet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.65%E -0.975%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.65%E -0.975%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 16:25
LeoVegas🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.65%E -0.975%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 14:55
theScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 16:34
Dabble (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 15:15
BetAnything🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 13:20
Neds🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 13:20
Betsson🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -8.09%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:55
NordicBet🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -8.09%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:55
BetRivers🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Virgin Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Unibet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Casumo🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
TABtouch🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Unibet (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:05
Grosvenor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:39
LiveScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Unibet (NL)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:40
ATG (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Svenska Spel🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:05
betPARX🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Bally Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:40
PlayUp🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 12:20
TAB🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 13:52
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 16:35
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 16:35
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 16:35
Caesars🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 13:43
SportsBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.16%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 12:20
PMU (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 10:39
Tipico (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 16:35
Fliff🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -15.41%E -2.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -17.04%E -3.34%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-05 16:34
1xBet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -17.85%E -3.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -1.19%E -1.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 16:25
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -1.19%E -1.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 16:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 16:35
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 14:53
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 14:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-08-05 16:20
Novig◎6.45I 15.50%NM 15.35%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.65%1.0%2026-08-05 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-08-05 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-08-05 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-08-05 16:35
Smarkets◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%1.6%2026-08-05 16:35
ProphetX◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%2.1%2026-08-05 16:35