Idioma:Español
Daria Kasatkina v Elena Rybakina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Daria Kasatkina (Local)
Predicción 16.27%6.15momio equitativo
EV +9.80%
Ventaja +1.45%
Kelly +1.70%
Crecimiento +0.167%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.34%16.32%16.37%19.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.705.506.7520.00%17.55%18.18%14.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Elena Rybakina (Visitante)
Predicción 83.73%1.19momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -6.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.91%83.68%83.63%85.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.101.131.131.1890.91%88.18%88.50%84.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Daria Kasatkina (Local): 16.27%; Elena Rybakina (Visitante): 83.73%. Para Daria Kasatkina (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.15. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.80%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +9.80%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.167% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.71%EV +7.52%E +1.14%K +1.34%G +0.101% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.29%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 13:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.73%E +0.882%K +1.04%G +0.060% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 13:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +2.48%E +0.393%K +0.468%G +0.012% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +1.67%E +0.266%K +0.317%G +0.005% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 13:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.60%EV +0.364%E +0.059%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.40%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 12:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 11:23 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.89%E -7.18%K -78.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.24%EV -3.54%E -0.597%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.76%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.24%EV -3.54%E -0.597%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.76%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -4.03%E -0.683%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.65%E -0.975%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.65%E -0.975%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.65%E -0.975%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.47%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -8.09%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -8.09%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.54%E -3.99%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 12:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 13:52 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.53%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 13:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.16%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 12:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 10:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -15.41%E -2.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -6.22%E -5.55%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -17.04%E -3.34%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -7.06%E -6.36%K -64.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -17.85%E -3.54%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -1.19%E -1.01%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -1.19%E -1.01%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.71%E -3.22%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 14:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.38%E -4.76%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 14:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| Novig◎ | 6.45I 15.50%NM 15.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.65% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 1.6% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |