Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Daria Kasatkina v Elena Rybakina

2026-08-05 16:30 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Daria Kasatkina (Local)

Predicción 16.05%6.23momio equitativo
EV +12.38%
Ventaja +1.77%
Kelly +2.06%
Crecimiento +0.255%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.79%16.04%16.18%18.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.785.707.0020.00%17.31%17.54%14.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Elena Rybakina (Visitante)

Predicción 83.95%1.19momio equitativo
EV -3.46%
Ventaja -3.01%
Kelly -23.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.57%83.96%83.82%86.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.101.131.131.1590.91%88.37%88.50%86.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Daria Kasatkina (Local): 16.05%; Elena Rybakina (Visitante): 83.95%. Para Daria Kasatkina (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 6.23. 9 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 7.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +12.38%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +12.38%E +1.77%K +2.06%G +0.255%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.84%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 12:00
Winamax (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +8.36%E +1.24%K +1.45%G +0.122%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 13:20
Pinnacle6.58I 15.20%NM 14.66%EV +5.64%E +0.856%K +1.01%G +0.057%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.34%EV -5.14%E -4.55%K -39.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 18:50
Coolbet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +4.35%E +0.669%K +0.791%G +0.034%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.73%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 16:50
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +4.35%E +0.669%K +0.791%G +0.034%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.35%E +0.669%K +0.791%G +0.034%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.82%E -6.14%K -62.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 13:20
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.35%E +0.669%K +0.791%G +0.034%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.82%E -6.14%K -62.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 13:20
FanDuel6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +1.14%E +0.181%K +0.215%G +0.002%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 13:19
BetMGM6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +0.338%E +0.054%K +0.064%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.82%E -6.14%K -62.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 13:20
Fanatics6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -0.465%E -0.075%K -0.089%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:30
DraftKings6.03I 16.58%NM 15.78%EV -3.19%E -0.530%K -0.635%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.22%EV -5.14%E -4.55%K -39.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.68%E -0.613%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 21:45
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.68%E -0.613%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.14%E -4.55%K -39.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 07:15
Bovada6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.68%E -0.613%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.14%E -4.55%K -39.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 15:00
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.68%E -0.613%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 07:15
Betr (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.68%E -0.613%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 23:20
betfred_uk6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.68%E -0.613%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 11:23
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.68%E -0.613%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 16:50
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.68%E -0.613%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 16:50
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.68%E -0.613%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 16:50
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.68%E -0.613%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 16:50
1xBet5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -4.32%E -0.725%K -0.871%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 16:00
BetOnline.ag5.93I 16.86%NM 16.24%EV -4.80%E -0.809%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.76%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 15:04
LowVig.ag5.93I 16.86%NM 16.24%EV -4.80%E -0.809%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.76%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 15:05
Marathon Bet5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -6.08%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -5.14%E -4.55%K -39.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 15:58
PointsBet (AU)5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -6.08%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -5.14%E -4.55%K -39.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:24
NetBet (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -6.89%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -6.82%E -6.14%K -62.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 18:54
BetAnything5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.69%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.14%E -4.55%K -39.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.69%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 13:20
Neds5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.69%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 13:20
SportsBet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -8.49%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -5.14%E -4.55%K -39.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 19:05
theScore Bet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -8.49%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 11:24
Tipico (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -8.49%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -7.66%E -6.96%K -76.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 08:19
Betsson5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -9.29%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.14%E -4.55%K -39.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 20:00
NordicBet5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -9.29%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.14%E -4.55%K -39.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 20:00
GTbets5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -10.10%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 10:45
Betclic (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -10.10%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.14%E -4.55%K -39.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 18:44
BetRivers5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.70%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Virgin Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.70%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Unibet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.70%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Casumo5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.70%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
TABtouch5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.70%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Unibet (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.70%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:05
Grosvenor5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.70%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:39
LiveScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.70%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.70%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Unibet (NL)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.70%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:40
ATG (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.70%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Svenska Spel5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.70%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:05
betPARX5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.70%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:04
Bally Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.70%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:05
Hard Rock Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.70%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:40
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.70%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 22:35
Dabble (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.70%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:35
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.70%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:35
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.70%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.14%E -4.55%K -39.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 21:40
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.70%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 13:20
Caesars5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.70%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 13:43
PMU (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -14.91%E -2.81%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.14%E -4.55%K -39.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 10:39
LeoVegas5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -14.91%E -2.81%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 22:35
Unibet (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -16.52%E -3.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 22:35
ReBet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -16.52%E -3.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 15:05
betano_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -19.73%E -3.95%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.14%E -4.55%K -39.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 15:29
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -19.73%E -3.95%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.14%E -4.55%K -39.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 15:28
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%1.6%2026-08-04 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%2.0%2026-08-04 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%2.0%2026-08-04 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%2.0%2026-08-04 18:40
Smarkets7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%2.8%2026-08-04 23:40
Novig6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.20%4.8%2026-08-04 23:55