Language:English
Aryna Sabalenka v Ekaterina Alexandrova
Head to Head
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prediction 76.26%1.31fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -5.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.59%76.04%76.19%78.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.241.2983.33%80.71%80.65%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit)
Prediction 23.74%4.21fair odd
EV +2.79%
Edge +0.645%
Kelly +0.839%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.98%23.96%23.81%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.964.004.3330.77%25.24%25.00%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 76.26%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit): 23.74%. For Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.21. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.33, producing a positive expected value of +2.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.96%E -5.71%K -31.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +2.79%E +0.645%K +0.839%G +0.023% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 06:11 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.20%E -5.04%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +2.08%E +0.484%K +0.631%G +0.013% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 06:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.96%E -5.71%K -31.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.293%E -0.070%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 06:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.44%E -4.38%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -1.48%E -0.357%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 06:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -3.91%E -3.10%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -2.19%E -0.532%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-07 06:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.44%E -4.38%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.67%E -0.651%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.44%E -4.38%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.67%E -0.651%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.44%E -4.38%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.67%E -0.651%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.44%E -4.38%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.67%E -0.651%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.44%E -4.38%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.67%E -0.651%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.44%E -4.38%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.67%E -0.651%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:41 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.44%E -4.38%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.67%E -0.651%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.44%E -4.38%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.67%E -0.651%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.44%E -4.38%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.67%E -0.651%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.44%E -4.38%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.67%E -0.651%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.44%E -4.38%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.67%E -0.651%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.44%E -4.38%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.67%E -0.651%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.44%E -4.38%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.67%E -0.651%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.44%E -4.38%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.67%E -0.651%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.49%E -7.07%K -42.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.67%E -0.651%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 06:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.59%EV -4.67%E -3.74%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.41%EV -2.90%E -0.710%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 06:46 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.44%E -4.38%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -3.85%E -0.952%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 06:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -6.20%E -5.04%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 06:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -6.20%E -5.04%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 06:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.67%E -3.74%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 06:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.67%E -3.74%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 06:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.67%E -3.74%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 06:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.67%E -3.74%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 06:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.44%E -4.38%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 01:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.44%E -4.38%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 06:16 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.96%E -5.71%K -31.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 05:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.96%E -5.71%K -31.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 03:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.49%E -7.07%K -42.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 03:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.44%E -4.38%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.23%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 06:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -7.73%E -6.38%K -36.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -6.23%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.67%E -3.74%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.42%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 06:31 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.67%E -3.74%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.42%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 06:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.20%E -5.04%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -7.42%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 06:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -6.96%E -5.71%K -31.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.60%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-07 06:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.67%E -3.74%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.79%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 06:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.67%E -3.74%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.79%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 06:41 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.96%E -5.71%K -31.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.79%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 06:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.10%EV -7.73%E -6.38%K -36.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -13.35%E -3.66%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-07 06:11 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.10%EV -7.73%E -6.38%K -36.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -13.35%E -3.66%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-07 06:11 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.39%E -1.86%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.54%E -4.04%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 06:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.39%E -1.86%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.54%E -4.04%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 06:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.39%E -1.86%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.54%E -4.04%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 06:41 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.39%E -1.86%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.54%E -4.04%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 06:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%EV -8.49%E -7.07%K -42.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -16.91%E -4.83%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-07 06:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -1.62%E -1.26%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -22.85%E -7.03%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 06:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.65% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.35% | 7.3% | 2026-08-07 06:36 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53% | 11.9% | 2026-08-07 06:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 64.22% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 35.78% | 33.1% | 2026-08-07 07:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 64.22% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 35.78% | 33.1% | 2026-08-07 07:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 63.09% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 36.91% | 35.5% | 2026-08-07 06:56 |