Langue:Français
Aryna Sabalenka v Ekaterina Alexandrova
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prévision 82.08%1.22cote équitable
EV -1.50%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -7.50%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.58%82.02%82.24%83.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.111.161.171.2090.09%85.96%85.47%83.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.92%5.58cote équitable
EV +4.63%
Avantage +0.793%
Kelly +0.957%
Croissance +0.044%
avec la cote maximale 5.84
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.69%17.98%17.76%20.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.135.005.8421.74%19.51%20.00%17.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Aryna Sabalenka (Local) : 82.08% ; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visiteur) : 17.92%. Pour Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.58. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.84, soit une espérance positive de +4.63%.
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.31%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.84I 17.12%NM 16.69%EV +4.63%E +0.793%K +0.957%G +0.044% | 2.6% | 2026-08-08 22:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +2.12%E +0.373%K +0.452%G +0.010% | 3.0% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV +2.12%E +0.373%K +0.452%G +0.010% | 3.8% | 2026-08-08 21:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +0.333%E +0.060%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 22:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -1.10%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 22:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -1.10%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 22:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-08 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 22:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 22:13 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 23:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.07%E -7.20%K -67.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 22:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -8.89%E -8.01%K -80.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.01%EV -1.50%E -1.25%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.99%EV -2.00%E -0.365%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.25%E -0.602%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.25%E -0.602%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.25%E -0.602%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.25%E -0.602%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -5.04%E -0.951%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.89%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.11%EV -5.22%E -0.987%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 22:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 22:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 22:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.86%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.14%EV -7.01%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.86%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.14%EV -7.01%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -7.73%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 23:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.75%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV -7.73%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.63%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 19:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 07:21 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 16:18 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 21:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 21:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 21:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 21:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 16:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 21:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 22:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 06:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 06:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 06:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 21:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 22:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 15:28 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -14.90%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -14.90%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -15.79%E -3.36%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 21:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -17.58%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 06:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -17.58%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 06:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -17.58%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 22:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.79% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 16.21% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |