Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Aryna Sabalenka v Ekaterina Alexandrova

Inizio: 2026-08-08 23:05 UTC

Finale: Aryna Sabalenka 1–2 Ekaterina Alexandrova

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

66 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Aryna Sabalenka (Casa)

Previsione 82.08%1.22quota equa
EV -1.50%
Vantaggio -1.25%
Kelly -7.50%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
79.58%82.02%82.24%83.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.111.161.171.2090.09%85.96%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.92%5.58quota equa
EV +4.63%
Vantaggio +0.793%
Kelly +0.957%
Crescita +0.044%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.84

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.69%17.98%17.76%20.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.605.135.005.8421.74%19.51%20.00%17.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Aryna Sabalenka (Casa): 82.08%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Trasferta): 17.92%. Per Ekaterina Alexandrova (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.58. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.84, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.63%.

Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 83.31%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.69%EV +4.63%E +0.793%K +0.957%G +0.044%2.6%2026-08-08 22:35
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +2.12%E +0.373%K +0.452%G +0.010%3.0%2026-08-08 22:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV +2.12%E +0.373%K +0.452%G +0.010%3.8%2026-08-08 21:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +0.333%E +0.060%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 22:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -1.10%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 22:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -1.10%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 22:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 22:55
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 22:54
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 22:13
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 23:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.07%E -7.20%K -67.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 22:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -8.89%E -8.01%K -80.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 20:19
GTbets🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 82.01%EV -1.50%E -1.25%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.99%EV -2.00%E -0.365%K -0.447%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-08 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.25%E -0.602%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 22:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.25%E -0.602%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 22:55
ReBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.25%E -0.602%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 22:55
Fanatics🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.25%E -0.602%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 22:14
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -5.04%E -0.951%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 22:54
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.89%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 18.11%EV -5.22%E -0.987%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 22:14
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 20:19
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 22:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 22:09
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 22:30
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.86%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.14%EV -7.01%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 22:59
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.86%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.14%EV -7.01%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -7.73%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 23:04
Fliff🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.75%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV -7.73%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 20:19
BetAnything🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.63%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 23:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 19:29
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 07:21
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 16:18
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 21:35
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 21:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 21:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 21:34
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 16:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 21:44
theScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 22:19
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 06:49
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 06:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 06:50
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 21:44
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 22:29
Casumo🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 19:30
Grosvenor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 19:30
Unibet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 19:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 19:30
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 19:29
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 19:30
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 19:29
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 19:29
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 15:28
Dabble (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -14.90%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 15:19
PlayUp🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -14.90%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 23:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -15.79%E -3.36%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 21:15
Neds🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -17.58%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 06:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -17.58%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 06:50
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -17.58%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 23:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-08-08 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-08-08 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-08-08 23:00
Matchbook◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-08-08 23:00
Novig◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-08-08 22:35
ProphetX◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.79%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.21%1.1%2026-08-08 23:00
Smarkets◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-08-08 23:00