StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka v Ekaterina Alexandrova

2026-08-09 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Direkter Vergleich

50 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka (Heim)

Prognose 77.08%1.30faire Quote
EV -0.566%
Vorteil -0.439%
Kelly -1.95%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.29

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
71.59%76.85%77.07%79.86%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.161.231.241.2986.21%81.38%80.65%77.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Auswärts)

Prognose 22.92%4.36faire Quote
EV +5.43%
Vorteil +1.18%
Kelly +1.51%
Wachstum +0.082%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.14%23.15%22.93%28.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.254.054.104.6030.77%24.69%24.39%21.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Aryna Sabalenka (Heim): 77.08%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Auswärts): 22.92%. Für Ekaterina Alexandrova (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.36. 4 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 4.60 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +5.43%.

Wettanbieterquoten (50 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -10.59%E -9.13%K -66.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV +5.43%E +1.18%K +1.51%G +0.082%7.9%2026-08-07 07:40
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.50%E -6.25%K -37.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +3.14%E +0.697%K +0.897%G +0.028%5.6%2026-08-07 07:39
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.50%E -6.25%K -37.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +3.14%E +0.697%K +0.897%G +0.028%5.6%2026-08-07 07:40
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.50%E -6.25%K -37.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +3.14%E +0.697%K +0.897%G +0.028%5.6%2026-08-07 07:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -1.45%E -0.336%K -0.438%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 07:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.96%E -4.89%K -27.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.59%E -0.610%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 07:45
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.96%E -4.89%K -27.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.59%E -0.610%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 07:40
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.74%E -0.890%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 07:45
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.96%E -4.89%K -27.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.74%E -0.890%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 07:45
NordicBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.55%EV -6.73%E -5.56%K -32.06%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.45%EV -4.20%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 07:39
Betsson🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.55%EV -6.73%E -5.56%K -32.06%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.45%EV -4.20%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 07:40
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.88%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 06:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.19%E -4.22%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -4.88%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 07:40
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -2.88%E -2.28%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -5.57%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-07 06:10
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 07:40
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 05:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 05:40
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 05:40
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 05:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 05:41
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 05:40
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 05:40
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 05:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 05:40
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 05:40
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 05:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 05:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 05:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.73%E -5.56%K -32.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 07:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.19%E -4.22%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -7.18%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 07:40
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.65%E -2.92%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 06:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 06:16
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.96%E -4.89%K -27.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 05:45
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.96%E -4.89%K -27.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 03:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.73%E -5.56%K -32.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 07:40
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.50%E -6.25%K -37.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 07:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -6.73%E -5.56%K -32.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.47%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 05:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -7.50%E -6.25%K -37.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.47%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 07:40
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.65%E -2.92%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 06:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.65%E -2.92%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.76%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 07:40
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.65%E -2.92%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.76%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 07:39
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.65%E -2.92%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.91%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 06:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.65%E -2.92%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.91%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 06:41
ReBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.15%EV -8.27%E -6.95%K -43.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.85%EV -12.91%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-07 07:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.15%EV -8.27%E -6.95%K -43.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.85%EV -12.91%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-07 07:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -16.34%E -4.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 07:40
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -1.34%E -1.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -17.49%E -4.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 06:41
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -1.34%E -1.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -17.49%E -4.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 06:40
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -0.566%E -0.439%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -25.51%E -7.85%K -11.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 06:34
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 77.94%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.06%8.7%2026-08-07 07:40
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%12.1%2026-08-07 07:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 75.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%14.0%2026-08-07 07:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 75.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%14.0%2026-08-07 07:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 76.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.25%22.9%2026-08-07 07:45
Arbitrage (6 Kombinationen) +0.75%Bet Victor 1.29 (78.1%) / SportsBet 4.60 (21.9%)Alle 6 Kombinationen anzeigen
Aryna Sabalenka (Heim)Ekaterina Alexandrova (Auswärts)Marge
Bet Victor🎯 1.29 (78.1%)SportsBet🎯 4.60 (21.9%)+0.747%
Bet Victor🎯 1.29 (77.7%)FanDuel🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.259%
Bet Victor🎯 1.29 (77.7%)Paddy Power🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.259%
Bet Victor🎯 1.29 (77.7%)Sky Bet🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.259%
Neds🎯 1.28 (78.2%)SportsBet🎯 4.60 (21.8%)+0.136%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.28 (78.2%)SportsBet🎯 4.60 (21.8%)+0.136%